Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 19
Jan 11, 2025 at 10.30am UK
Kadir Has Sehir Stadi

Kayserispor
0 - 1
Samsunspor


Civelek (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mouandilmadji (1')
Yavru (79'), Kocuk (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kayserispor and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kayserispor

All competitions
Last Game: Bodrumspor 1-1 Kayserispor
Sunday, January 5 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Samsunspor

All competitions
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-1 Trabzonspor
Saturday, January 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
KayserisporDrawSamsunspor
32.16% (-0.465 -0.46)24.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.65% (0.466 0.47)
Both teams to score 59.56% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.15% (-0.154 -0.15)42.84% (0.15 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.75% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)65.24% (0.149 0.15)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (-0.357 -0.36)25.72% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-0.484 -0.48)60.64% (0.483 0.48)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (0.14100000000001 0.14)19.81% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (0.228 0.23)51.88% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 32.16%
    Samsunspor 43.65%
    Draw 24.18%
KayserisporDrawSamsunspor
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.16%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.89% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.6% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 43.65%

How you voted: Kayserispor vs Samsunspor

Kayserispor
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Samsunspor
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jul 15, 2024 4pm
Club Friendlies 2
Kayserispor
1-3
Samsunspor
Nazon (47')
Mouandilmadji (4' pen.), Ntcham (65'), Kara (83')
Jan 25, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Samsunspor
2-0
Kayserispor
Yavru (10'), Kara (57')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Kayserispor
2-1
Samsunspor
Uzodimma (16'), Thiam (38')
Mouandilmadji (21')
> Preview