Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Bodrumspor had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Bodrumspor win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.