Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 22.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.