Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 70%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Goztepe SK win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.