Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.