Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 19
Mar 29, 2025 at 6pm UK
Al Thumama Stadium

Al Ahli
1 - 0
Al-Rayyan

Exposito (53')
Ellithi (8'), Draxler (36'), Naim Hussein (69'), Fettouhi (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

De Sart (18')
De Sart (72')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Ahli and Al-Rayyan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Duhail 4-2 Al Ahli
Saturday, March 8 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Al-Rayyan

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 2-0 Al-Rayyan
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Al AhliDrawAl-Rayyan
32.68% (0.253 0.25)22.28% (0.0039999999999978 0)45.05% (-0.26 -0.26)
Both teams to score 66.88% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.66% (0.085999999999999 0.09)33.34% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.88% (0.1 0.1)55.12% (-0.101 -0.1)
Al Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (0.17500000000001 0.18)20.88% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.42% (0.27399999999999 0.27)53.58% (-0.276 -0.28)
Al-Rayyan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)15.47% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.66% (-0.113 -0.11)44.34% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahli 32.68%
    Al-Rayyan 45.05%
    Draw 22.28%
Al AhliDrawAl-Rayyan
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 9.44% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.9% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.24% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.29%
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.56% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 45.05%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 8
Al-Rayyan
2-2
Al Ahli
Guedes (28', 65')
Amaro (40'), Garcia (45')
Yansane (3'), Exposito (37')
Abdulla Bahzad (71'), Fettouhi (90+1')
Apr 24, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 21
Al-Rayyan
4-1
Al Ahli
Taniguchi (23'), Guedes (85' pen.), Rodrigo (88'), Bencharki (90+11')
Mutasem (19')
Sliti (11')
Dorzadeh (68'), Sliti (77')
Dec 2, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Al Ahli
0-4
Al-Rayyan

Emad (10'), Pepa (11'), Qadry (23'), Yansane (83')
Umaru (54')
Rodrigo (4'), Guedes (65', 85'), Bencharki (69')
Al-Tairi (60')