Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 21
Apr 24, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium

Al-Rayyan
4 - 1
Al Ahli

Taniguchi (23'), Guedes (85' pen.), Rodrigo (88'), Bencharki (90+11')
Mutasem (19')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sliti (11')
Dorzadeh (68'), Sliti (77')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al-Rayyan and Al Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Qatar SC 0-3 Al-Rayyan
Wednesday, April 17 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Ahli 1-9 Al-Sadd
Wednesday, April 17 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 58.14%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 22% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.04%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.

Result
Al-RayyanDrawAl Ahli
58.14% (-1.096 -1.1)19.86% (0.289 0.29)22% (0.808 0.81)
Both teams to score 66.03% (0.158 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.61% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)30.39% (0.314 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.34% (-0.378 -0.38)51.66% (0.378 0.38)
Al-Rayyan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)10.48% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.88% (-0.836 -0.84)34.11% (0.836 0.84)
Al Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (0.476 0.48)26.24% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (0.63500000000001 0.64)61.35% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Al-Rayyan 58.14%
    Al Ahli 22%
    Draw 19.86%
Al-RayyanDrawAl Ahli
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.2% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 4.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.087 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 58.14%
1-1 @ 8.3% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 19.86%
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.16 0.16)
0-1 @ 3.68% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.062 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 22%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Al Ahli
0-4
Al-Rayyan

Emad (10'), Pepa (11'), Qadry (23'), Yansane (83')
Umaru (54')
Rodrigo (4'), Guedes (65', 85'), Bencharki (69')
Al-Tairi (60')