Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.