Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
1 - 0
Osijek

Mikanovic (66')
Pajaziti (31'), Krizmanic (38'), Mikanovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Babec (31'), Matkovic (56'), Soldo (65'), Jugovic (84')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and Osijek.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Gorica
Friday, January 31 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Osijek

All competitions
Last Game: Osijek 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, February 2 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
GoricaDrawOsijek
20.64% (0.071999999999999 0.07)24.12% (0.348 0.35)55.24% (-0.422 -0.42)
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.937 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (-1.303 -1.3)51.47% (1.304 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-1.15 -1.15)73.28% (1.149 1.15)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.47% (-0.669 -0.67)39.53% (0.669 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.78% (-0.626 -0.63)76.22% (0.625 0.63)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.642 -0.64)18.51% (0.641 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.26% (-1.097 -1.1)49.74% (1.095 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 20.64%
    Osijek 55.24%
    Draw 24.11%
GoricaDrawOsijek
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.228 0.23)
2-1 @ 5.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.15% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 20.64%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.374 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 12.34% (0.39 0.39)
0-2 @ 10.41% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-3 @ 5.85% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.155 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.47% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 55.24%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Osijek
2-0
Gorica
Les (34' og.), Pusic (90')
Jelenic (27'), Jugovic (33'), Tuia (40'), Soldo (58'), Jakupovic (87')

Mikanovic (58'), Pavlovic (83'), Pavlovic (87')
Aug 18, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Gorica
2-2
Osijek
Kapulica (38'), Pavlovic (82')
Caic (62')
Jugovic (53', 61')
Matkovic (59')
Apr 28, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 32
Gorica
0-3
Osijek
Mierez (45+1', 51', 80')
Guedes (71')
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 23
Osijek
3-0
Gorica
Mierez (50'), Pusic (63'), Almasi (72')

Soldo (47'), Lazarov (84')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Gorica
3-0
Osijek
Stiglec (45+2'), Soldo (82'), Prsir (87')
Prsir (62')

Jugovic (41'), Omerovic (61'), Bralic (71')