Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 25, 2026 2.00pm
Old Trafford

Manchester United vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 2.00pm
Leeds 1 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Bryan Mbeumo

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 2.00pm
Bournemouth 2 - 0 Sunderland
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Marcus Tavernier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw has a probability of 24.84% and a win for Bournemouth has a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.81%) , while for a Bournemouth win it is 0-1 (6.35%).

Result

Manchester United 50.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 24.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Bournemouth 24.58% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.07%
Under 1.5 22.93%
Over 2.5 54.89%
Under 2.5 45.11%
Over 3.5 33.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 19.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.01% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 38.07% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 39.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Bournemouth 22.7% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Manchester United 56.34% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 6.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Bournemouth 37.19% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 61.11%
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 27.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 49.7%
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 38.89%
Over 10.5 38.74%
Under 10.5 61.26%

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 50.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 60.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 70.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester United 50.58%
Draw 24.85%
Bournemouth 24.57%
Manchester United
1-0 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 50.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.85%
Bournemouth
0-1 @ 6.35%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.57%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 31
Mar 20, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Ryan Christie 67' goal
  • David Brooks 73' yellowcard
  • Eli Kroupi 73' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 73' yellowcard
  • Eli Kroupi 81' yellowcard
  • Ben Gannon-Doak 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 61'
  • goal James Hill 71' (OG)
  • yellowcard Benjamin Sesko 71'
  • yellowcard Ayden Heaven 82'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 82'
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 90'
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 90'+6'
Premier League
Dec 15, 2025 8.00pm
4
4
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Amad Diallo 13' goal
  • Diogo Dalot 43' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 45'+4' goal
  • Casemiro 50' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 77' goal
  • Matheus Cunha 79' goal
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 40'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 43'
  • goal Evanilson 46'
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 52'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 76'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 79'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 81'
  • goal Eli Junior Kroupi 84'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 31, 2025 3.30am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2025 10.00am
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2025 10.00am
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Tyler Adams 21' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 23' goal
  • Dean Huijsen 63' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 65' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 70' redcard
  • Adam Smith 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Dorgu 57'
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 79'
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 90'+6'