Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

AC Milan

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Bournemouth has a probability of 35.21% and a draw has a probability of 28.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Bournemouth win is 1-0 (11.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).

Result

Bournemouth 35.21% ▲ (+0.68)
Draw 28.66% ▲ (+0.70)
AC Milan 36.16% ▼ (-1.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.13% ▼ (-0.42)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.56% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 1.5 32.44% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 2.5 41.96% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 2.5 58.04% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 3.5 22.09% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 77.88% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 4.5 12.11% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 4.5 87.89% ▲ (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 27.33% ▼ (-0.39)
Draw 44.15% ▼ (-0.25)
AC Milan 28.52% ▲ (+0.63)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 38.82% ▼ (-2.16)
No Goal 10.36% ▲ (+0.31)
AC Milan 50.82% ▲ (+1.86)

Corners

Over 8 48.59% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 12.01% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 8 39.4% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 9 37.22% ▼ (-0.19)
Equal 9 11.37% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 9 51.41% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 27.3% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 10.5 72.7% ▲ (+0.49)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 31.72% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 68.28% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 2.5 11.32% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 88.68% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.75% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 96.25% ▼ (-0.21)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 66.32% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 0.5 33.68% ▲ (+0.94)
Over 1.5 32.17% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 1.5 67.83% ▲ (+1.35)
Over 2.5 12.43% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 2.5 87.57% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 3.5 3.81% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 96.19% ▲ (+0.36)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 35.22%
Draw 28.68%
AC Milan 36.16%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 11.09% ▲ (+0.35)
2-1 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 35.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% ▲ (+0.33)
0-0 @ 10.36% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 28.68%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 11.05% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.42)
0-2 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.40)
Total : 36.16%