Serie A Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 5.00pm
Sassuolo 1 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Adrien Rabiot

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 5.30pm
Atalanta 3 - 1 Venezia
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Nikola Krstović

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Atalanta BC has a probability of 30.15% and a draw has a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win is 1-2 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.19%).

Result

AC Milan 45.88% ▼ (-0.56)
Draw 23.97% ▼ (-0.47)
Atalanta BC 30.15% ▲ (+1.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.53% ▲ (+0.99)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.91% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 1.5 21.09% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 2.5 56.52% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 2.5 43.48% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 3.5 33.83% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 3.5 66.17% ▼ (-1.18)
Over 4.5 19.83% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 4.5 80.17% ▼ (-0.80)

First Half Winner

AC Milan 38.49% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 39.74% ▼ (-0.90)
Atalanta BC 21.77% ▲ (+0.99)

Team To Score First

AC Milan 57.45% ▲ (+0.40)
No Goal 5.29% ▼ (-0.27)
Atalanta BC 37.26% ▼ (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 54.91% ▲ (+0.65)
Equal 8 12.02% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 8 33.07% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 42.93% ▲ (+1.12)
Equal 9 11.98% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 9 45.09% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 10.5 32% ▲ (+1.45)
Under 10.5 68% ▼ (-1.46)

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 46.83%
Under 1.5 53.17%
Over 2.5 21.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.06% ▼ (-0.04)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 66.76% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 0.5 33.24% ▼ (-0.76)
Over 1.5 34.42% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 1.5 65.58% ▼ (-1.04)
Over 2.5 13.77% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 2.5 86.23% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 3.5 4.65% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 3.5 95.35% ▼ (-0.36)

Score analysis

AC Milan 45.88%
Draw 23.97%
Atalanta BC 30.14%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.25)
1-0 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.39)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 45.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.27)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 23.97%
Atalanta BC
1-2 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.43)
Total : 30.14%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 36
May 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Christopher Nkunku 46' yellowcard
  • Youssouf Fofana 58' yellowcard
  • Zachary Athekame 58' yellowcard
  • Niclas Füllkrug 58' yellowcard
  • Zachary Athekame 59' yellowcard
  • Niclas Füllkrug 59' yellowcard
  • Pervis Estupiñán 80' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Pavlović 88' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Éderson 7'
  • goal Davide Zappacosta 29'
  • yellowcard Odilon Kossounou 48'
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 51'
  • yellowcard Raoul Bellanova 55'
  • yellowcard Honest Ahanor 63'
  • yellowcard Mario Pašalić 63'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • yellowcard Juan Cuadrado 56'
  • goal Ederson 62'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Charles De Ketelaere 12' goal
  • Charles De Ketelaere 55' yellowcard
  • Raoul Bellanova 71' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 87' goal
  • goal Alvaro Morata 22'
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 75'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Rafael Leao 3' goal
  • Stefano Pioli 40' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 42'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 44'
  • yellowcard Emil Holm 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 56'
  • yellowcard Ederson 90'+4'
Coppa Italia
Jan 10, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Rafael Leao 45' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 57' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 80' yellowcard
  • Antonio Mirante 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Gian Piero Gasperini 38'
  • redcard Gian Piero Gasperini 38'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 45'+2'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 59'
  • yellowcard Ederson 90'