Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 5.30pm
Lecce 0 - 4 Roma
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 7.45pm
Atalanta 1 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Giacomo Raspadori

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw has a probability of 26.98% and a win for Atalanta BC has a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.68%) , while for a Atalanta BC win it is 0-1 (6.87%).

Result

Roma 48.23% (+0.11)
Draw 26.98% (+0.11)
Atalanta BC 24.76% (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.9% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.99% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 25.01% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 50.18% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.82% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.09%
Under 3.5 71.91%
Over 4.5 15.56% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.44% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Roma 34.42% (+0.02)
Draw 43.68% (-0.07)
Atalanta BC 21.9% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Roma 54.14% (+0.22)
No Goal 7.16% (+0.03)
Atalanta BC 38.7% (-0.24)

Corners

Over 8 51.56% (+0.40)
Equal 8 12.03% (-0.01)
Under 8 36.4% (-0.40)
Over 9 39.89% (+0.37)
Equal 9 11.68% (+0.03)
Under 9 48.44% (-0.40)
Over 10.5 29.48% (+0.31)
Under 10.5 70.52% (-0.32)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 46.24% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 53.76% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 20.47% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 79.53% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.73% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.27% (-0.03)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 61.55% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 38.45% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 27.63% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 72.37% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 9.15% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 90.85% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.5% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.5% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Roma 48.23%
Draw 26.99%
Atalanta BC 24.76%
Roma
1-0 @ 10.96% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.53% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.5% (+0.01)
Total : 48.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.16% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.77% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23% (+0.02)
Total : 26.99%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.27% (-0.05)
Total : 24.76%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 18, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Mario Hermoso 45' goal
  • Niccolò Pisilli 60' yellowcard
  • Daniele Ghilardi 60' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Venturino 60' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 71' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 72' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Tsimikas 77' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Tsimikas 78' yellowcard
  • goal Nikola Krstović 12'
  • yellowcard Odilon Kossounou 46'
  • yellowcard Nicola Zalewski 46'
  • yellowcard Honest Ahanor 46'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Bernasconi 54'
  • yellowcard Mario Pašalić 79'
  • yellowcard Mario Pašalić 80'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Jan 3, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Giorgio Scalvini 12' goal
  • Honest Ahanor 26' yellowcard
  • Isak Hien 59' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 60' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstović 72' yellowcard
  • Daniel Maldini 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley 46'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Tsimikas 59'
  • yellowcard Artem Dovbyk 60'
  • yellowcard Stephan El Shaarawy 66'
  • yellowcard Niccolò Pisilli 83'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 12, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Ademola Lookman 9' goal
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 76' goal
  • Berat Djimsiti 90' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Cristante 32'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Paulo Dybala 53' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal 23'
  • goal Marten de Roon 69'
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 78'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 88'
  • goal Nicolo Zaniolo 89'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 90'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Charles De Ketelaere 18' goal
  • Charles De Ketelaere 20' goal
  • Gian Piero Gasperini 43' yellowcard
  • Teun Koopmeiners 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 46'
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 66'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Paulo Dybala 39' goal
  • Jose Mourinho 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Kristensen 63' yellowcard
  • Jose Mourinho 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 8'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Scalvini 29'
  • yellowcard Matteo Ruggeri 37'
  • yellowcard Ederson 43'
  • yellowcard Teun Koopmeiners 55'
  • yellowcard Davide Zappacosta 74'
  • yellowcard Emil Holm 90'