Serie A Gameweek 3
Roma
Sep 5, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta
  • Gian Piero Gasperini 40' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 89' goal
  • Matías Soulé 90'+3' goal
  • goal Éderson  47'
  • yellowcard Maurizio Sarri 55'
  • yellowcard Raoul Bellanova 84'
  • redcard Gianluca Gaetano 90'+7'

Roma vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 5.30pm
Lecce 0 - 4 Roma
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 7.45pm
Atalanta 1 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Giacomo Raspadori

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.84% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%) , while for a Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Roma 47.78% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 26.84% ▼ (-0.09)
Atalanta BC 25.38% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.68% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 51.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 48.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 29.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 70.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 16.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.06% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Roma 33.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 43.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Atalanta BC 22.2% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Roma 53.09% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 6.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Atalanta BC 40.1% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 52.79%
Equal 8 12.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 34.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 40.77%
Equal 9 12.02%
Under 9 47.21%
Over 10.5 29.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 70.01% ▲ (+0.02)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 46.93% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 53.07% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 21.1% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 78.9% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 8.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 91.9% ▼ (-0.06)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 62.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 37.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 29.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 70.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 10.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.07% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Roma 47.79%
Draw 26.84%
Atalanta BC 25.39%
Roma
1-0 @ 10.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 47.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 26.84%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.39%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 33
Roma
Apr 18, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta
  • Mario Hermoso 45' goal
  • Niccolò Pisilli 60' yellowcard
  • Daniele Ghilardi 60' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Venturino 60' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 71' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 72' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Tsimikas 77' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Tsimikas 78' yellowcard
  • goal Nikola Krstović 12'
  • yellowcard Odilon Kossounou 46'
  • yellowcard Nicola Zalewski 46'
  • yellowcard Honest Ahanor 46'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Bernasconi 54'
  • yellowcard Mario Pašalić 79'
  • yellowcard Mario Pašalić 80'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Atalanta
Jan 3, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
Roma
  • Giorgio Scalvini 12' goal
  • Honest Ahanor 26' yellowcard
  • Isak Hien 59' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 60' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstović 72' yellowcard
  • Daniel Maldini 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley 46'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Tsimikas 59'
  • yellowcard Artem Dovbyk 60'
  • yellowcard Stephan El Shaarawy 66'
  • yellowcard Niccolò Pisilli 83'
Serie A Gameweek 36
Atalanta
May 12, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
Roma
  • Ademola Lookman 9' goal
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 76' goal
  • Berat Djimsiti 90' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Cristante 32'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Roma
Dec 2, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta
  • Paulo Dybala 53' yellowcard
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal 23'
  • goal Marten de Roon 69'
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 78'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 88'
  • goal Nicolo Zaniolo 89'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 90'
Serie A Gameweek 36
Atalanta
May 12, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
Roma
  • Charles De Ketelaere 18' goal
  • Charles De Ketelaere 20' goal
  • Gian Piero Gasperini 43' yellowcard
  • Teun Koopmeiners 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 46'
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 66'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Roma
Jan 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta
  • Paulo Dybala 39' goal
  • Jose Mourinho 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Kristensen 63' yellowcard
  • Jose Mourinho 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 8'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Scalvini 29'
  • yellowcard Matteo Ruggeri 37'
  • yellowcard Ederson 43'
  • yellowcard Teun Koopmeiners 55'
  • yellowcard Davide Zappacosta 74'
  • yellowcard Emil Holm 90'

Form Data

Lecce 0 - 4 Roma
Roma 4 - 0 Fiorentina
Dortmund 2 - 2 Roma
Brighton 3 - 0 Roma
Newport 1 - 4 Roma
Cardiff 4 - 1 Roma
Atalanta 1 - 0 Bologna
H. Tel Aviv 0 - 1 Atalanta
Atalanta 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Atalanta 0 - 0 H. Tel Aviv
Atalanta 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Schalke 0 - 3 Atalanta