Serie A
May 10, 2026 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Gabriel Strefezza 47' goal
  • Mateo Pellegrino 53' yellowcard
  • 53' yellowcard
  • Sascha Britschgi 74' yellowcard
  • Franco Carboni 74' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Estévez 79' yellowcard
  • Pontus Almqvist 79' yellowcard
  • Mandela Keita 87' goal
  • goal Donyell Malen 22'
  • yellowcard Daniele Ghilardi 53'
  • yellowcard Niccolò Pisilli 58'
  • yellowcard Neil El Aynaoui 58'
  • yellowcard Neil El Aynaoui 59'
  • yellowcard Niccolò Pisilli 59'
  • yellowcard Devyne Rensch 74'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venturino 75'
  • yellowcard Devyne Rensch 75'
  • goal Devyne Rensch 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 90'+11'

Parma vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 7.45pm
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Parma
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Mateo Pellegrino

Roma

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2026 7.45pm
Roma 4 - 0 Fiorentina
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.75% and a win for Parma had a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%) , while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Parma 26.58% (-0.21)
Draw 27.75%
Roma 45.64% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.39% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.22% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 31.78% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 42.24% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 57.76% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 21.35% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 78.65% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 10.79% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 89.21% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Parma 21.6%
Draw 45.71%
Roma 32.69%

Team To Score First

Parma 36.3% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.78% (+0.07)
Roma 53.92% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.87%
Equal 8 12.71%
Under 8 33.41%
Over 9 41.27%
Equal 9 12.6%
Under 9 46.13%
Over 10.5 29.93%
Under 10.5 70.07%

Parma Goals

Over 1.5 24.8% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 75.2% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 7.52% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 92.48% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 1.78% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 98.22% (+0.07)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 73.47% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.53% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39.37%
Under 1.5 60.63%
Over 2.5 15.48%
Under 2.5 84.52%
Over 3.5 4.8% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.2% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Parma 26.57%
Draw 27.75%
Roma 45.64%
Parma
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.05% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.73% (-0.06)
Total : 26.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.78% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 27.75%
Roma
0-1 @ 12.93% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 9.24% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.76% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.08%
0-3 @ 3.81% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 45.64%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 29, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 25
Feb 16, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Giovanni Leoni 31' redcard
  • Botond Balogh 82' yellowcard
  • Pontus Almqvist 85' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Soule 33'
  • yellowcard Matias Soule 34'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 55'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 63'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 11.30am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Paulo Dybala 8' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 13' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 51' goal
  • Angelino 64' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 74' goal
  • Artem Dovbyk 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ange-Yoan Bonny 24'
  • yellowcard Pontus Almqvist 50'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2021 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Valentin Mihaila 9' goal
  • Yordan Osorio 23' yellowcard
  • Hernani 55' goal
  • Hernani 66' yellowcard
  • Yann Karamoh 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Peres 32'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 54'
  • yellowcard Edin Dzeko 69'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2020 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Borja Mayoral 28' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 32' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 40' goal
Serie A Gameweek 31
Jul 8, 2020 8.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Bryan Cristante 9' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 43' goal
  • Bruno Peres 49' yellowcard
  • Jordan Veretout 57' goal
  • Amadou Diawara 71' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 78' yellowcard
  • Ibanez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Juraj Kucka 9'
  • yellowcard Jasmin Kurtic 85'