Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.75% and a win for Parma had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%) , while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.