May 4, 2026 7.45pm

Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

W
D
W
L
W
L

Serie A

W
D
W
L
W
L

Last game

Apr 25, 2026 5.00pm

Bologna 0 - 2 Roma

Goals scored

46

Top scorer

Donyell Malen

Fiorentina

All competitions

D
D
W
W
L
W

Serie A

D
D
W
W
D
W

Last game

Apr 26, 2026 11.30am

Fiorentina 0 - 0 Sassuolo

Goals scored

37

Top scorer

Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw has a probability of 24.17% and a win for Fiorentina has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.06%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Fiorentina win it is 1-2 (6.24%).

Result

Roma 52.9%

Draw 24.17%

Fiorentina 22.9%

Both Teams to Score:

56.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.95% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 22.05% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 54.89%

Under 2.5 45.11%

Over 3.5 32.45%

Under 3.5 67.55%

Over 4.5 19.14%

Under 4.5 80.86%

First Half Winner

Roma 40.06%

Draw 41.6%

Fiorentina 18.33%

Team To Score First

Roma 62.22%

No Goal 5.86%

Fiorentina 31.92%

Corners

Over 8 49.56%

Equal 8 12.8%

Under 8 37.64%

Over 9 37.32%

Equal 9 12.24%

Under 9 50.44%

Over 10.5 26.65%

Under 10.5 73.35%

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 51.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 48.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 25.28%

Under 2.5 74.72%

Over 3.5 10.01% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 89.99% ▲ (+0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 60.16% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 39.84% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 1.5 27.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 72.48% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 9.35% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 90.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 2.65%

Under 3.5 97.35%

Score analysis

Roma 52.9%

Draw 24.17%

Fiorentina 22.9%

Roma

1-0 @ 10.4% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 8.71%

3-1 @ 5.58%

3-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 52.9%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.24% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 5.86%

2-2 @ 5.52%

3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.21%

Total : 24.17%

Fiorentina

1-2 @ 6.24%

0-1 @ 5.76%

0-2 @ 3.1%

1-3 @ 2.21%

2-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 1.11%

Other @ 2.44%

Total : 22.9%

Head to Head

Oct 5, 2025 2.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

May 4, 2025 5.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Stadio Olimpico

Artem Dovbyk 45'+5'
Matias Soule 89'
Niccolo Pisilli 90'+4'

Cher Ndour 64'
Moise Kean 85'

Oct 27, 2024 7.45pm

5

1

HT : 3 1

FT Stadio Artemio Franchi

Moise Kean 9'
Lucas Beltran 17'
Moise Kean 41'
Edoardo Bove 52'
Luca Ranieri 61'
Mats Hummels 71'
Moise Kean 74'
Moise Kean 75'

Kouadio Kone 39'
Gianluca Mancini 42'
Niccolo Pisilli 50'
Kouadio Kone 57'
Mario Hermoso 60'
Mario Hermoso 65'

Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm

2

2

HT : 1 0

FT Stadio Artemio Franchi

Luca Ranieri 18'
Giacomo Bonaventura 57'
Nikola Milenkovic 64'
Rolando Mandragora 69'

Gianluca Mancini 6'
Leandro Paredes 37'
Dean Huijsen 45'
Houssem Aouar 58'
Evan N'Dicka 68'
Tommaso Baldanzi 75'
Diego Llorente 90'+5'

Dec 10, 2023 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Stadio Olimpico

Romelu Lukaku 5'
Bryan Cristante 37'
Nicola Zalewski 41'
Nicola Zalewski 64'
Leandro Paredes 80'
Romelu Lukaku 87'
Diego Llorente 90'+6'

Jonathan Ikone 64'
Lucas Martinez 66'
Cristiano Biraghi 75'
Alfred Duncan 86'
Nikola Milenkovic 90'+7'

May 27, 2023 5.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Stadio Artemio Franchi

Luka Jovic 85'
Jonathan Ikone 88'

Stephan El Shaarawy 11'

Form Data

Bologna 0 - 2 Roma

Roma 1 - 1 Atalanta

Roma 3 - 0 Pisa

Inter Milan 5 - 2 Roma

Roma 1 - 0 Lecce

Roma 3 - 4 Bologna

Fiorentina 0 - 0 Sassuolo

Lecce 1 - 1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina 2 - 1 Crystal Palace

Fiorentina 1 - 0 Lazio

Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Fiorentina

Hellas Verona 0 - 1 Fiorentina