Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 5.00pm
Bologna 2 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Lameck Banda

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 7.45pm
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Lazio
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 25.73% and a draw has a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Lecce win is 1-0 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.1%).

Result

Lecce 25.73% (-0.75)
Draw 25.07% (+0.11)
Fiorentina 49.24% (+0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

53% (-0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.49% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 25.51% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 51.34% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 48.66% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 29.92% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 70.08% (-0.54)
Over 4.5 17.19% (+0.43)
Under 4.5 82.81% (-0.43)

First Half Winner

Lecce 21.08% (-3.06)
Draw 46.84% (+1.77)
Fiorentina 32.08% (+1.29)

Team To Score First

Lecce 33.08% (-4.07)
No Goal 7.48% (+0.25)
Fiorentina 59.44% (+3.82)

Corners

Over 8 48.44% (+0.13)
Equal 8 12.62% (+0.18)
Under 8 38.95% (-0.31)
Over 9 36.5% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.17)
Under 9 51.56% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 26.18% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 73.82% (+0.16)

Lecce Goals

Over 1.5 27.88% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 72.12% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 9.82% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 90.18% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 2.91% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.09% (+0.05)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 77.42% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 22.58% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 46.79% (+0.98)
Under 1.5 53.21% (-0.98)
Over 2.5 21.95% (+1.00)
Under 2.5 78.05% (-1.00)
Over 3.5 8.46% (+0.53)
Under 3.5 91.54% (-0.52)

Score analysis

Lecce 25.72%
Draw 25.07%
Fiorentina 49.25%
Lecce
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 6.16% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.8% (-0.10)
Total : 25.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.33)
0-0 @ 7.48% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.24% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.04)
Total : 25.07%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 10.88% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 8.23% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.01% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 4.48% (+0.32)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.35% (+0.48)
Total : 49.25%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Nov 2, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Robin Gosens 9' goal
  • Lucas Beltran 17' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 61' yellowcard
  • Rolando Mandragora 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Medon Berisha 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Antonino Gallo 51'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 2.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Antonino Gallo 43' redcard
  • yellowcard Andrea Colpani 18'
  • goal Danilo Cataldi 20'
  • goal Andrea Colpani 34'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 42'
  • goal Danilo Cataldi 45'
  • goal Andrea Colpani 54'
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 59'
  • goal Lucas Beltran 61'
  • goal Fabiano Parisi 72'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 80'
  • yellowcard Amir Richardson 85'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Remi Oudin 17' goal
  • Pontus Almqvist 50' yellowcard
  • Lameck Banda 77' yellowcard
  • Valentin Gendrey 82' yellowcard
  • Roberto Piccoli 90' goal
  • Patrick Dorgu 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 15'
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 50'
  • goal Lucas Beltran 67'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 72'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gonzalez 90'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 3' goal
  • Alfred Duncan 25' goal
  • Lucas Martinez 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 15'
  • goal Hamza Rafia 49'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gendrey 54'
  • yellowcard Patrick Chinazaekpere Dorgu 63'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 76'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Antonino Gallo 27' goal