Serie A Gameweek 33
Lecce
Apr 20, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Fiorentina
  • Lameck Banda 56' yellowcard
  • Lameck Banda 57' yellowcard
  • Omri Gandelman 57' yellowcard
  • Nikola Stulic 57' yellowcard
  • Tiago Gabriel 71' goal
  • Corrie Ndaba 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luís Balbo 11'
  • goal Jack Harrison 30'
  • yellowcard Manor Solomon 60'
  • yellowcard Marco Brescianini 80'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Fazzini 80'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Fabbian 80'

Lecce vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 5.00pm
Bologna 2 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Lameck Banda

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 7.45pm
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Lazio
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Lecce 25.39% ▼ (-0.42)
Draw 25.18% ▲ (+0.13)
Fiorentina 49.46% ▲ (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.78% ▼ (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.17% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 25.83% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 50.93% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 2.5 49.07% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 3.5 29.58% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 3.5 70.42% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 4.5 17.01% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 82.99% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Lecce 20.96% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 46.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Fiorentina 32.14% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Lecce 33% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.6% ▲ (+0.12)
Fiorentina 59.4% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 47.74% ▼ (-0.63)
Equal 8 12.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 39.68% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 9 35.91% ▼ (-0.55)
Equal 9 11.83% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 52.26% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 10.5 25.73% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 10.5 74.27% ▲ (+0.43)

Lecce Goals

Over 1.5 27.5% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 1.5 72.5% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 2.5 9.63% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 90.37% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 2.86% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 97.14% ▲ (+0.10)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 77.47% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 22.53% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 46.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 53.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 21.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lecce 25.41%
Draw 25.18%
Fiorentina 49.46%
Lecce
1-0 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 25.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.18%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 11.13% ▲ (+0.23)
1-2 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 8.31%
Total : 49.46%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Fiorentina
Nov 2, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Lecce
Serie A Gameweek 27
Fiorentina
Feb 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lecce
  • Robin Gosens 9' goal
  • Lucas Beltran 17' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 61' yellowcard
  • Rolando Mandragora 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Medon Berisha 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Antonino Gallo 51'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Lecce
Oct 20, 2024 2.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Fiorentina
  • Antonino Gallo 43' redcard
  • yellowcard Andrea Colpani 18'
  • goal Danilo Cataldi 20'
  • goal Andrea Colpani 34'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 42'
  • goal Danilo Cataldi 45'
  • goal Andrea Colpani 54'
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 59'
  • goal Lucas Beltran 61'
  • goal Fabiano Parisi 72'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 80'
  • yellowcard Amir Richardson 85'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Lecce
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Fiorentina
  • Remi Oudin 17' goal
  • Pontus Almqvist 50' yellowcard
  • Lameck Banda 77' yellowcard
  • Valentin Gendrey 82' yellowcard
  • Roberto Piccoli 90' goal
  • Patrick Dorgu 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 15'
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 50'
  • goal Lucas Beltran 67'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 72'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gonzalez 90'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Fiorentina
Aug 27, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lecce
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 3' goal
  • Alfred Duncan 25' goal
  • Lucas Martinez 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 15'
  • goal Hamza Rafia 49'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gendrey 54'
  • yellowcard Patrick Chinazaekpere Dorgu 63'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 76'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Fiorentina
Mar 19, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lecce
  • Antonino Gallo 27' goal

Form Data

Bologna 2 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 0 - 3 Atalanta
Roma 1 - 0 Lecce
Napoli 2 - 1 Lecce
Lecce 2 - 1 Cremonese
Como 3 - 1 Lecce
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Crystal Palace
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Lazio
Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Fiorentina
Hellas Verona 0 - 1 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Rakow 1 - 2 Fiorentina