Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 24, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 7.45pm
Hellas Verona 0 - 2 Roma

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
May 22, 2026 7.45pm
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Atalanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw has a probability of 24.75% and a win for Fiorentina has a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.26%) and 2-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.36%) , while for a Fiorentina win it is 0-1 (5.53%).

Result

Roma 56.55%
Draw 24.75%
Fiorentina 18.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.17%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.2% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.8% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.1%
Under 2.5 47.9%
Over 3.5 29.79%
Under 3.5 70.21%
Over 4.5 17.6%
Under 4.5 82.4%

First Half Winner

Roma 41.34%
Draw 43%
Fiorentina 15.66%

Team To Score First

Roma 64.97% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.81% (+0.01)
Fiorentina 28.22%

Corners

Over 8 49.76%
Equal 8 12.56%
Under 8 37.68%
Over 9 37.75%
Equal 9 12.01%
Under 9 50.24%
Over 10.5 27.25%
Under 10.5 72.75%

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 53.14%
Under 1.5 46.86%
Over 2.5 26.13%
Under 2.5 73.87%
Over 3.5 10.71%
Under 3.5 89.29%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 55.18% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 44.82% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 22.51% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 77.49% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 6.96% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.04% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.87%
Under 3.5 98.13%

Score analysis

Roma 56.54%
Draw 24.75%
Fiorentina 18.67%
Roma
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 10.26%
2-0 @ 10.2%
3-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 10.37%
Total : 56.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.81% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 24.75%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 5.53%
1-2 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 2.54%
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 18.67%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 35
May 4, 2026 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Gianluca Mancini 13' goal
  • Wesley 17' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 34' goal
  • Niccolò Pisilli 58' goal
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 64' yellowcard
  • Paulo Dybala 72' yellowcard
  • Daniele Ghilardi 72' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 83' yellowcard
  • Jan Ziolkowski 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pietro Comuzzo 46'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Braschi 46'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 46'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Fabbian 75'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Fazzini 75'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 5, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 4, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Artem Dovbyk 45'+5' goal
  • Matias Soule 89' yellowcard
  • Niccolo Pisilli 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cher Ndour 64'
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 85'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Moise Kean 9' goal
  • Lucas Beltran 17' goal
  • Moise Kean 41' goal
  • Edoardo Bove 52' goal
  • Luca Ranieri 61' yellowcard
  • Mats Hummels 71' goal
  • Moise Kean 74' yellowcard
  • Moise Kean 75' yellowcard
  • goal Kouadio Kone 39'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 42'
  • yellowcard Niccolo Pisilli 50'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 57'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 60'
  • redcard Mario Hermoso 65'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Luca Ranieri 18' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 57' yellowcard
  • Nikola Milenkovic 64' yellowcard
  • Rolando Mandragora 69' goal
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 6'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 37'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 45'
  • goal Houssem Aouar 58'
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 68'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Baldanzi 75'
  • goal Diego Llorente 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Romelu Lukaku 5' goal
  • Bryan Cristante 37' yellowcard
  • Nicola Zalewski 41' yellowcard
  • Nicola Zalewski 64' redcard
  • Leandro Paredes 80' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 87' redcard
  • Diego Llorente 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Ikone 64'
  • goal Lucas Martinez 66'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 75'
  • yellowcard Alfred Duncan 86'
  • redcard Nikola Milenkovic 90'+7'