Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 24, 2026 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Donyell Malen 27' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 39' yellowcard
  • Manu Koné 49' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 52' goal
  • Donyell Malen 60' goal
  • Niccolò Pisilli  86' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolò Fagioli 30'
  • yellowcard Mateo Pellegrino 63'

Roma vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 7.45pm
Hellas Verona 0 - 2 Roma
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
May 22, 2026 7.45pm
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Atalanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.74% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.25%) and 2-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%) , while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.52%).

Result

Roma 56.63% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 24.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Fiorentina 18.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.34% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 23.66% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 52.23% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 47.77% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 29.97% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 70.03% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 17.74% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 4.5 82.26% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Roma 41.48% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 42.83% ▼ (-0.18)
Fiorentina 15.69% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Roma 65.11% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 6.75% ▼ (-0.06)
Fiorentina 28.14% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 49.82% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 12.56%
Under 8 37.62% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 37.8% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 12.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 50.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 27.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 72.71% ▼ (-0.05)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 53.3% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 46.7% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 26.25% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 73.75% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 10.81% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 89.19% ▼ (-0.11)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 55.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 44.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 22.57% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 77.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 7.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 92.97% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Roma 56.63%
Draw 24.75%
Fiorentina 18.65%
Roma
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 56.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.75%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 18.65%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 35
May 4, 2026 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Gianluca Mancini 13' goal
  • Wesley 17' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 34' goal
  • Niccolò Pisilli 58' goal
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 64' yellowcard
  • Paulo Dybala 72' yellowcard
  • Daniele Ghilardi 72' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 83' yellowcard
  • Jan Ziolkowski 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pietro Comuzzo 46'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Braschi 46'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 46'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Fabbian 75'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Fazzini 75'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 5, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 4, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Artem Dovbyk 45'+5' goal
  • Matias Soule 89' yellowcard
  • Niccolo Pisilli 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cher Ndour 64'
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 85'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Moise Kean 9' goal
  • Lucas Beltran 17' goal
  • Moise Kean 41' goal
  • Edoardo Bove 52' goal
  • Luca Ranieri 61' yellowcard
  • Mats Hummels 71' goal
  • Moise Kean 74' yellowcard
  • Moise Kean 75' yellowcard
  • goal Kouadio Kone 39'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 42'
  • yellowcard Niccolo Pisilli 50'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 57'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 60'
  • redcard Mario Hermoso 65'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Luca Ranieri 18' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 57' yellowcard
  • Nikola Milenkovic 64' yellowcard
  • Rolando Mandragora 69' goal
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 6'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 37'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 45'
  • goal Houssem Aouar 58'
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 68'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Baldanzi 75'
  • goal Diego Llorente 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Romelu Lukaku 5' goal
  • Bryan Cristante 37' yellowcard
  • Nicola Zalewski 41' yellowcard
  • Nicola Zalewski 64' redcard
  • Leandro Paredes 80' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 87' redcard
  • Diego Llorente 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Ikone 64'
  • goal Lucas Martinez 66'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 75'
  • yellowcard Alfred Duncan 86'
  • redcard Nikola Milenkovic 90'+7'