Club Friendlies 1
Aug 1, 2026 5.00pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Fiorentina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 26.9% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-2 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.32%).

Result

Real Madrid 50.3%
Draw 22.8%
Fiorentina 26.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.03%
Under 1.5 17.97%
Over 2.5 60.7%
Under 2.5 39.3%
Over 3.5 38.3%
Under 3.5 61.7%
Over 4.5 23.4%
Under 4.5 76.6%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 53.08%
Under 1.5 46.92%
Over 2.5 27.31%
Under 2.5 72.69%
Over 3.5 11.48%
Under 3.5 88.52%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 64.54%
Under 0.5 35.46%
Over 1.5 33.2%
Under 1.5 66.8%
Over 2.5 12.89%
Under 2.5 87.11%
Over 3.5 4.12%
Under 3.5 95.88%

Score analysis

Real Madrid 50.29%
Draw 22.81%
Fiorentina 26.91%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 5.85%
3-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 11.19%
Total : 50.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.81%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-1 @ 5.62%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 26.91%