La Liga
Gameweek
38
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Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 67.23%. A draw has a probability of 19.1% and a win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.64%) , while for a Athletic Bilbao win it is 0-1 (3.85%).
Result
Real Madrid
67.23%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
19.1%
▼
(-0.02)
Athletic Bilbao
13.67%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
53.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.2%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
18.8%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 2.5
59.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
40.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
38.72%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
61.24%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
26.4%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
73.6%
▲
(+0.02)
First Half Winner
Real Madrid
49.02%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
36.12%
▼
(-0.11)
Athletic Bilbao
14.87%
▼
(-0.07)
Team To Score First
Real Madrid
67.11%
▼
(-0.05)
No Goal
4.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Athletic Bilbao
28.1%
▲
(+0.04)
Corners
Over 8
71.04%
Equal 8
9.24%
Under 8
19.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 9
60.57%
Equal 9
10.46%
Under 9
28.96%
Over 10.5
49.68%
Under 10.5
50.32%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 1.5
64.23%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
35.77%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 2.5
38.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
61.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
19.26%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
80.74%
▼
(-0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5
47.39%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
52.61%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
18.68%
Under 1.5
81.32%
Over 2.5
6.05%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
93.95%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
1.6%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
98.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
67.25%
Draw
19.1%
Athletic Bilbao
13.68%
Real Madrid
2-0
@
10.99%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 18.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 67.25%
1-0 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 18.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 67.25%
Draw
1-1
@
8.64%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.1%
0-0 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.1%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
@
3.85%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 13.68%
1-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 13.68%
Head to Head
La Liga
-
Alex Berenguer
66'
-
Alejandro Rego Mora
76'
-
Kylian Mbappe
7'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
42'
-
Kylian Mbappe
59'
La Liga
Gameweek
32
-
Raul Asencio del Rosario
75'
-
Vinicius Junior
80'
-
Federico Valverde
90'+3'
-
Unai Nunez
63'
-
Benat Prados
86'
La Liga
Gameweek
19
-
Alex Berenguer
53'
-
Julen Agirrezabala
67'
-
Lucas Vazquez
72'
-
Gorka Guruzeta
80'
-
Jude Bellingham
90'+1'
-
Gorka Guruzeta
90'+3'
-
13'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
70'
-
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
74'
-
Jude Bellingham
78'
La Liga
Gameweek
30
-
Rodrygo
8'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
57'
-
Nacho
71'
-
Rodrygo
73'
-
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
87'
La Liga
Gameweek
1
-
Iker Muniain
4'
-
Daniel Vivian
67'
-
Inaki Williams
87'
-
Rodrygo
28'
-
Jude Bellingham
36'
-
David Alaba
76'
La Liga
Gameweek
38
-
Karim Benzema
72'
-
Oihan Sancet
49'