La Liga Gameweek 35
Barcelona
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Camp Nou
Real Madrid

Barcelona vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 8.00pm
Osasuna 1 - 2 Barcelona
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Lamine Yamal

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 8.00pm
Espanyol 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.25%. A win for Real Madrid has a probability of 22.87% and a draw has a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.28%) and 1-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Real Madrid win is 1-2 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.66%).

Result

Barcelona 57.25%
Draw 19.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Real Madrid 22.87% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.82% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.87% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 14.13% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 67.18% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 32.82% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 44.85% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 55.15% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 4.5 30.48% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 69.52% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Barcelona 51.64%
Draw 29.29%
Real Madrid 19.08%

Team To Score First

Barcelona 67.71% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 3.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Real Madrid 28.99% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 68.58%
Equal 8 10.44%
Under 8 20.98%
Over 9 56.92%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 31.42%
Over 10.5 45.08%
Under 10.5 54.92%

Barcelona Goals

Over 1.5 60.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 39.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 36.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 63.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 18.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 81.46% ▼ (-0.05)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 58.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 41.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 30.72% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 69.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.15% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 87.85% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Barcelona 57.26%
Draw 19.9%
Real Madrid 22.86%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.13%
3-0 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 18.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 57.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78%
0-0 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.9%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 22.86%

Head to Head

Supercopa de Espana
Barcelona
Jan 11, 2026 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Alinma Stadium
Real Madrid
  • Raphinha 36' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 45'+4' goal
  • Ferran Torres 66' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 66' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 73' goal
  • 83' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 83' yellowcard
  • Gerard Martin Langreo 83' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+2'
  • goal Gonzalo Garcia 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Arda Guler 68'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 76'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 76'
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 82'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 82'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 83'
La Liga
Real Madrid
Oct 26, 2025 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Barcelona
La Liga Gameweek 35
Barcelona
May 11, 2025 3.15pm
4
3
HT : 4 2
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Real Madrid
  • Eric Garcia 19' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 32' goal
  • Raphinha 34' goal
  • Ronald Araujo 44' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 45' goal
  • Inigo Martinez 54' yellowcard
  • Fermin Lopez 80' yellowcard
  • Pedri 87' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 5'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 14'
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 29'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 36'
  • yellowcard Raul Asencio del Rosario 50'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 70'
Copa del Rey
Barcelona
Apr 26, 2025 9.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Real Madrid
  • Pedri 28' goal
  • Gerard Martin Langreo 37' yellowcard
  • Frenkie de Jong 68' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 84' goal
  • Fermin Lopez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Jules Kounde 116' goal
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 25'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 25'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 31'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 70'
  • goal Aurelien Tchouameni 77'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 107'
  • redcard Antonio Rudiger 120'+3'
  • redcard Lucas Vazquez 120'+4'
Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 12, 2025 7.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 4
FT King Abdullah Sports City
Barcelona
  • Kylian Mbappe 5' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 35' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 53' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 55' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 60' goal
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 62' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 77' yellowcard
  • goal Lamine Yamal 22'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 36'
  • goal Raphinha 39'
  • goal Raphinha 48'
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 45'+8'
  • goal Alejandro Balde 45'+10'
  • redcard Wojciech Szczesny 56'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 77'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 87'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 89'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
Oct 26, 2024 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Barcelona
  • Vinicius Junior 80' yellowcard
  • Eder Militao 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Casado Torras 44'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 54'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 56'
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 69'
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 75'
  • goal Lamine Yamal 77'
  • yellowcard Inaki Pena 82'
  • goal Raphinha 84'
  • yellowcard Gavi 90'

Form Data

Osasuna 1 - 2 Barcelona
Getafe 0 - 2 Barcelona
Barcelona 1 - 0 Celta Vigo
Atletico 1 - 2 Barcelona
Barcelona 4 - 1 Espanyol
Barcelona 0 - 2 Atletico
Espanyol 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Betis 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Alaves
Bayern 4 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 1 Girona
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Bayern

Build-up

Injuries & Suspensions
News