La Liga
Athletic Bilbao
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT San Mamés Barria
Celta Vigo
  • Robert Navarro 45' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 46' yellowcard
  • Iñaki Williams 52' goal
  • Alejandro Rego 71' yellowcard
  • Maroan Sannadi 82' yellowcard
  • Nico Serrano 82' yellowcard
  • Nico Serrano 83' yellowcard
  • Urko Izeta 86' yellowcard
  • goal Williot Swedberg 4'
  • yellowcard Óscar Mingueza 46'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 58'
  • yellowcard Pablo Durán 58'
  • yellowcard Pablo Durán 59'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 59'
  • yellowcard Hugo Álvarez 74'
  • yellowcard Matías Vecino 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Matías Vecino 90'+2'

Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2026 6.00pm
Espanyol 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2026 6.00pm
Celta Vigo 2 - 3 Levante
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Borja Iglesias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 48.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 25.29% ▼ (-0.47)
Celta Vigo 26.4% ▲ (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.65% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.49% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 1.5 25.51% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 2.5 50.51% ▲ (+1.13)
Under 2.5 49.49% ▼ (-1.13)
Over 3.5 28.23% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 3.5 71.77% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 4.5 15.3% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 4.5 84.7% ▼ (-0.37)

First Half Winner

Athletic Bilbao 37.38% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 44.11% ▼ (-0.25)
Celta Vigo 18.51% ▲ (+0.46)

Team To Score First

Athletic Bilbao 57.34% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 7.09% ▼ (-0.34)
Celta Vigo 35.57% ▲ (+0.43)

Corners

Over 8 53.87% ▼ (-1.89)
Equal 8 11.67% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 8 34.46% ▲ (+2.61)
Over 9 42.34% ▼ (-0.95)
Equal 9 11.53% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 9 46.13% ▲ (+1.89)
Over 10.5 31.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 1.5 45.88% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 54.12% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 2.5 20.65% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 79.35% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 7.18% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 92.82% ▼ (-0.22)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 62.44% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 0.5 37.56% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 1.5 28.2% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 71.8% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 2.5 9.19% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 90.81% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 2.4% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.6% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 48.28%
Draw 25.3%
Celta Vigo 26.4%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.75% ▼ (-0.50)
2-1 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 48.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.3%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 7.65%
1-2 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 26.4%

Head to Head

La Liga
Celta Vigo
Dec 14, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abanca-Balaídos
Athletic Bilbao
  • Ferran Jutlga Blanc 44' yellowcard
  • Ferran Jutglà 44' yellowcard
  • Ferran Jutlga Blanc 45' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 48' goal
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 55' goal
  • Iago Aspas 77' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inaki Williams 66'
  • yellowcard Iñaki Williams 66'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 87'
  • yellowcard Dani Vivian 87'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 88'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Celta Vigo
Jan 19, 2025 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Athletic Bilbao
  • Ilaix Moriba 60' yellowcard
  • Hugo Alvarez 74' goal
  • Oscar Mingueza 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 62'
  • goal Daniel Vivian 71'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
Sep 22, 2024 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT San Mames Barria
Celta Vigo
  • Gorka Guruzeta 4' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 20' yellowcard
  • Aitor Paredes 30' yellowcard
  • Gorka Guruzeta 39' goal
  • Benat Prados 52' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Djalo 80' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Hugo Sotelo 50'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 86'
La Liga Gameweek 36
Celta Vigo
May 15, 2024 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Athletic Bilbao
  • Williot Swedberg 68' goal
  • Hugo Alvarez 71' goal
  • Carl Starfelt 80' yellowcard
  • Franco Cervi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 23'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Athletic Bilbao
Nov 10, 2023 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT San Mames Barria
Celta Vigo
  • Oihan Sancet 37' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 45'+5' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 52' goal
  • Unai Simon 56' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 90'+8' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 39'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 41'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 66'
  • yellowcard Vicente Guaita 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT San Mamés Barria
Celta Vigo
  • Inaki Williams 5' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 54' goal
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 50'

Form Data

Espanyol 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Valencia
Alaves 2 - 4 Athletic Bilbao
Atletico 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Osasuna
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 2 Villarreal
Celta Vigo 2 - 3 Levante
Atletico 0 - 1 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 3 - 1 Elche
Villarreal 2 - 1 Celta Vigo
Barcelona 1 - 0 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 1 - 3 Freiburg