La Liga Gameweek 37
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2026 6.00pm
Espanyol 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2026 6.00pm
Celta Vigo 2 - 3 Levante
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 26% and a draw has a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win is 0-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.93%).

Result

Athletic Bilbao 48.22% (-0.47)
Draw 25.75% (+0.47)
Celta Vigo 26% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.5% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.62% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 26.38% (+0.76)
Over 2.5 49.31% (-1.15)
Under 2.5 50.69% (+1.15)
Over 3.5 27.62% (-1.18)
Under 3.5 72.38% (+1.18)
Over 4.5 14.91% (-0.90)
Under 4.5 85.09% (+0.90)

First Half Winner

Athletic Bilbao 37.6% (-0.44)
Draw 44.35% (+0.78)
Celta Vigo 18.06% (-0.33)

Team To Score First

Athletic Bilbao 57.42% (+0.53)
No Goal 7.43% (+0.21)
Celta Vigo 35.15% (-0.74)

Corners

Over 8 55.75% (-0.82)
Equal 8 12.39% (-0.13)
Under 8 31.86% (+0.93)
Over 9 43.29% (-0.58)
Equal 9 12.46% (-0.23)
Under 9 44.25% (+0.82)
Over 10.5 31.89% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 68.11% (+0.32)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 1.5 45.2% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 54.8% (+0.90)
Over 2.5 20.07% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 79.93% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 6.96% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 93.04% (+0.41)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 61.76% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 38.24% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 27.62% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 72.38% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 8.9% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 91.1% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 2.33% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 97.67% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 48.22%
Draw 25.76%
Celta Vigo 26%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.27% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.56% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.17)
Other @ 6.82% (-0.42)
Total : 48.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (+0.34)
0-0 @ 7.43% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 25.76%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 7.66% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 6.8% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.19% (-0.19)
Total : 26%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 14, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ferran Jutlga Blanc 44' yellowcard
  • Ferran Jutlga Blanc 45' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 48' goal
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 55' goal
  • Iago Aspas 77' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inaki Williams 66'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 87'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 88'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Ilaix Moriba 60' yellowcard
  • Hugo Alvarez 74' goal
  • Oscar Mingueza 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 62'
  • goal Daniel Vivian 71'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT San Mames Barria
  • Gorka Guruzeta 4' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 20' yellowcard
  • Aitor Paredes 30' yellowcard
  • Gorka Guruzeta 39' goal
  • Benat Prados 52' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Djalo 80' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Hugo Sotelo 50'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 86'
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 15, 2024 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Williot Swedberg 68' goal
  • Hugo Alvarez 71' goal
  • Carl Starfelt 80' yellowcard
  • Franco Cervi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 23'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT San Mames Barria
  • Oihan Sancet 37' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 45'+5' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 52' goal
  • Unai Simon 56' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 90'+8' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 39'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 41'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 66'
  • yellowcard Vicente Guaita 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inaki Williams 5' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 54' goal
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 50'