Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Levante had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-2 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.