La Liga
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Lucien Agoumé 53' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sánchez 53' yellowcard
  • Lucien Agoumé 54' yellowcard
  • Chidera Ejuke 54' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sánchez 54' yellowcard
  • Juanlu Sánchez 70' yellowcard
  • Isaac Romero 78' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 15'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 70'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 70'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo García 77'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 77'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Leiva 87'

Sevilla vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2026 6.00pm
Villarreal 2 - 3 Sevilla
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Akor Adams

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2026 8.30pm
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (6.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Sevilla 26.91% (-0.77)
Draw 23.93% (-0.29)
Real Madrid 49.16% (+1.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.4% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 23.6% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 52.88% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.12% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.34% (+0.86)
Under 3.5 68.66% (-0.86)
Over 4.5 18.29% (+0.68)
Under 4.5 81.71% (-0.69)

First Half Winner

Sevilla 25.58% (-0.46)
Draw 41.24% (+0.09)
Real Madrid 33.19% (+0.38)

Team To Score First

Sevilla 44.5%
No Goal 6.53% (-0.15)
Real Madrid 48.97% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 59.21% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.58% (-0.33)
Under 8 29.21% (+0.41)
Over 9 47.31% (+0.34)
Equal 9 11.9% (-0.41)
Under 9 40.79% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 36.11% (+0.69)
Under 10.5 63.89% (-0.69)

Sevilla Goals

Over 1.5 29.56% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 70.44% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 11.24% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 88.76% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 3.55% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.45% (-0.04)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 78.1% (+0.96)
Under 0.5 21.9% (-0.97)
Over 1.5 47.47% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 52.53% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 22.36% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 77.64% (-0.71)
Over 3.5 8.65% (+0.52)
Under 3.5 91.35% (-0.53)

Score analysis

Sevilla 26.92%
Draw 23.94%
Real Madrid 49.16%
Sevilla
1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.28)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 2.83% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.26% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.34)
Other @ 3.35% (-0.05)
Total : 26.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.08)
Total : 23.94%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 10.4% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 8.65% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 5.12% (+0.25)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.88% (+0.11)
Other @ 8.45% (+0.45)
Total : 49.16%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 20, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jude Bellingham 38' goal
  • Rodrygo 41' yellowcard
  • Raul Asencio del Rosario 60' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 86' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Angel Carmona 34'
  • yellowcard Matias Almeyda 35'
  • yellowcard Marcao 37'
  • yellowcard Marcao 68'
  • yellowcard Lucien Agoume 70'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sow 90'+1'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Loic Bade 12' redcard
  • Isaac Romero 48' redcard
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 66'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 75'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 87'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2024 3.15pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Kylian Mbappe 10' goal
  • Federico Valverde 20' goal
  • Rodrygo 34' goal
  • Carlo Ancelotti 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Brahim Diaz 53' goal
  • Federico Valverde 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 12'
  • goal Isaac Romero 35'
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 76'
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 85'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Lucas Vazquez 10' goal
  • Carlo Ancelotti 13' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 35' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 81' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Ocampos 70'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Kouassi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sow 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • David Alaba 74' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Jesus Navas 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 85' yellowcard
  • Boubakary Soumare 87' yellowcard
  • Erik Lamela 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Valverde 4'
  • goal Dani Carvajal 78'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 85'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 85'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Rafa Mir 3' goal
  • goal Rodrygo 29'
  • goal Rodrygo 69'

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