Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (6.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.