Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.69% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.