Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.