Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 75.82%. A draw had a probability of 16.18% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 8.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.23%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.