La Liga Gameweek 36
May 14, 2026 8.30pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Barcelona 2 - 0 Real Madrid
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 5.30pm
Real Oviedo 0 - 0 Getafe
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 76.17%. A draw has a probability of 16.04% and a win for Real Oviedo has a probability of 7.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.98%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (6.17%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it is 0-1 (2.67%).

Result

Real Madrid 76.17% (+0.13)
Draw 16.04% (-0.14)
Real Oviedo 7.76% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.46% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.17% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 21.83% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 58.16% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 41.84% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 38.8% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 61.2% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 28.81% (+0.39)
Under 4.5 71.19% (-0.40)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 58% (+0.04)
Draw 30.36% (-0.13)
Real Oviedo 11.64% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 71.61% (+0.11)
No Goal 6.17% (-0.14)
Real Oviedo 22.22% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 68.06% (-0.16)
Equal 8 9.93% (+0.02)
Under 8 22.01% (+0.15)
Over 9 57.09% (-0.16)
Equal 9 10.96%
Under 9 31.94% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 45.98% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 54.02% (+0.16)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 67.93% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 32.07% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 43.09% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 56.91% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 23.27% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 76.73% (-0.30)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5 35.08% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 64.92% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 11.89% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 88.11% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 3.39% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 96.61% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 0.88% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.12% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 76.17%
Draw 16.05%
Real Oviedo 7.78%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 12.98% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 9.63% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 8% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.4% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.02% (+0.05)
Other @ 23.15% (+0.30)
Total : 76.17%
Draw
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.14)
1-1 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 2.87% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 16.05%
Real Oviedo
0-1 @ 2.67% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 1.72% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.76% (+0.02)
Total : 7.78%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 24, 2025 8.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT