Club Friendlies 3
Jul 29, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • 44' yellowcard
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 38'

Watford vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
Watford 3 - 0 Hansa Rostock

Fiorentina

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
QPR 3 - 2 Fiorentina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Watford 44.4% (-0.42)
Draw 26.91% (-0.15)
Fiorentina 28.69% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.4% (+0.57)
Under 1.5 25.6% (-0.56)
Over 2.5 50.54% (+0.84)
Under 2.5 49.46% (-0.84)
Over 3.5 28.59% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 71.41% (-0.66)
Over 4.5 15.8% (+0.54)
Under 4.5 84.2% (-0.54)

First Half Winner

Watford 33.63% (+0.11)
Draw 44.31% (-0.17)
Fiorentina 22.06% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Watford 56.07% (+0.10)
No Goal 7.71% (-0.25)
Fiorentina 36.22% (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 57.54% (-0.42)
Equal 8 11.56% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.9% (+0.42)
Over 9 45.79% (-0.36)
Equal 9 11.76% (-0.05)
Under 9 42.46% (+0.42)
Over 10.5 34.83% (-0.28)
Under 10.5 65.17% (+0.27)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 43.13% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 56.87% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 18.68% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 81.32% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 6.25% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 93.75% (-0.13)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 64.87% (+0.64)
Under 0.5 35.13% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 31.01% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 68.99% (-0.82)
Over 2.5 11.04% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 88.96% (-0.59)
Over 3.5 3.33% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 96.67% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Watford 44.4%
Draw 26.91%
Fiorentina 28.69%
Watford
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.28)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.3% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.17% (+0.09)
Total : 44.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 5.68% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.04)
Total : 26.91%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.97% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.09% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.89% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.25% (+0.19)
Total : 28.69%