Club Friendlies 3
Jul 29, 2026 7.30pm
Vicarage Road

Watford vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
Watford 3 - 0 Hansa Rostock

Fiorentina

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
QPR 3 - 2 Fiorentina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 28.14% and a draw has a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 0-1 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.41%).

Result

Watford 44.81% (+0.04)
Draw 27.05% (-0.15)
Fiorentina 28.14% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.96% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.84% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 26.16% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 49.7% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 50.3% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 27.93% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 72.07% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 15.27% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 84.73% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Watford 33.53% (+0.11)
Draw 44.48% (-0.12)
Fiorentina 21.99%

Team To Score First

Watford 55.98% (+0.05)
No Goal 7.96% (-0.07)
Fiorentina 36.06% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.95% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.57% (+0.06)
Under 8 30.48% (-0.02)
Over 9 46.14% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.8% (+0.05)
Under 9 42.05% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 35.1% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 64.9% (+0.13)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 42.96% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 57.04% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 18.47% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 81.53% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.12% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.88% (-0.05)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 64.24% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 35.76% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 30.2% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 69.8% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 10.46% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 89.54% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.1% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 96.9% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Watford 44.8%
Draw 27.05%
Fiorentina 28.15%
Watford
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.08% (+0.07)
Total : 44.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.6% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 27.05%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 4.25% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.52% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.06% (+0.07)
Total : 28.15%