Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.97% and a win for Watford had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%) , while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.87%).