Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Morgan Whittaker 6' goal
  • David Strelec 45'+1' goal
  • Matt Targett 46' yellowcard
  • Morgan Whittaker 58' goal
  • Tommy Conway 63' yellowcard
  • Dael Fry 63' yellowcard
  • Leo Castledine 64' yellowcard
  • Tommy Conway 75' yellowcard
  • Sam Silvera 83' yellowcard
  • Tommy Conway 90'+2' goal
  • goal James Abankwah 48'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Doumbia 62'
  • yellowcard Othmane Maamma 62'
  • yellowcard J. Grieves 63'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 63'
  • yellowcard Tom Ince 82'

Middlesbrough vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 7.45pm
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
West Brom 3 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.97% and a win for Watford had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%) , while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.87%).

Result

Middlesbrough 54.97%
Draw 23.97%
Watford 21.06%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.68%
Under 1.5 27.32%
Over 2.5 48.61%
Under 2.5 51.39%
Over 3.5 26.6%
Under 3.5 73.4%
Over 4.5 15.44%
Under 4.5 84.56%

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 41.69%
Draw 40.95%
Watford 17.36%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 60.55%
No Goal 7.78%
Watford 31.67%

Corners

Over 8 69.98%
Equal 8 9.95%
Under 8 20.07%
Over 9 58.74%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 30.02%
Over 10.5 47.17%
Under 10.5 52.83%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 48.93%
Under 1.5 51.07%
Over 2.5 23.31%
Under 2.5 76.69%
Over 3.5 8.96%
Under 3.5 91.04%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 55.16%
Under 0.5 44.84%
Over 1.5 22.03%
Under 1.5 77.97%
Over 2.5 6.68%
Under 2.5 93.32%
Over 3.5 1.62%
Under 3.5 98.38%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 54.97%
Draw 23.98%
Watford 21.07%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 12.69%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 8.82%
Total : 54.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.98%
Watford
0-1 @ 6.87%
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 21.07%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Luke Ayling 47' yellowcard
  • Marcus Forss 83' yellowcard
  • goal Moussa Sissoko 40'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 65'
  • yellowcard Egil Selvik 81'
Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Tom Cleverley 24' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 76' goal
  • Kwadwo Baah 87' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 88' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Baah 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 23'
  • goal George Edmundson 54'
Championship Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 28' goal
  • Finn Azaz 33' yellowcard
  • Alex Bangura 78' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 84' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Pollock 20'
  • goal Wesley Hoedt 73'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Vicarage Road
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 19' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 40' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 52' goal
  • Francisco Sierralta 55' yellowcard
  • goal Riley McGree 5'
  • goal Riley McGree 12'
  • goal Josh Coburn 63'
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Chuba Akpom 36' goal
  • Marcus Forss 45'+3' goal