Championship Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
Riverside Stadium
Watford

Middlesbrough vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 12.00pm
Ipswich 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Watford 0 - 2 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw has a probability of 23.97% and a win for Watford has a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.03%) , while for a Watford win it is 0-1 (6.87%).

Result

Middlesbrough 54.97%
Draw 23.97%
Watford 21.06%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.68%
Under 1.5 27.32%
Over 2.5 48.61%
Under 2.5 51.39%
Over 3.5 26.6%
Under 3.5 73.4%
Over 4.5 15.44%
Under 4.5 84.56%

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 41.69%
Draw 40.95%
Watford 17.36%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 60.55%
No Goal 7.78%
Watford 31.67%

Corners

Over 8 69.98%
Equal 8 9.95%
Under 8 20.07%
Over 9 58.74%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 30.02%
Over 10.5 47.17%
Under 10.5 52.83%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 48.93%
Under 1.5 51.07%
Over 2.5 23.31%
Under 2.5 76.69%
Over 3.5 8.96%
Under 3.5 91.04%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 55.16%
Under 0.5 44.84%
Over 1.5 22.03%
Under 1.5 77.97%
Over 2.5 6.68%
Under 2.5 93.32%
Over 3.5 1.62%
Under 3.5 98.38%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 54.97%
Draw 23.98%
Watford 21.07%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 12.69%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 8.82%
Total : 54.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.98%
Watford
0-1 @ 6.87%
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 21.07%

Head to Head

Championship
Watford
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Middlesbrough
Championship Gameweek 33
Middlesbrough
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Watford
  • Luke Ayling 47' yellowcard
  • Marcus Forss 83' yellowcard
  • goal Moussa Sissoko 40'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 65'
  • yellowcard Egil Selvik 81'
Championship Gameweek 9
Watford
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
Middlesbrough
  • Tom Cleverley 24' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 76' goal
  • Kwadwo Baah 87' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 88' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Baah 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 23'
  • goal George Edmundson 54'
Championship Gameweek 46
Middlesbrough
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Watford
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 28' goal
  • Finn Azaz 33' yellowcard
  • Alex Bangura 78' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 84' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Pollock 20'
  • goal Wesley Hoedt 73'
Championship Gameweek 9
Watford
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Vicarage Road
Middlesbrough
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 19' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 40' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 52' goal
  • Francisco Sierralta 55' yellowcard
  • goal Riley McGree 5'
  • goal Riley McGree 12'
  • goal Josh Coburn 63'
Championship Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Watford
  • Chuba Akpom 36' goal
  • Marcus Forss 45'+3' goal

Form Data

Ipswich 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Portsmouth
Swansea 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 2 Millwall
Blackburn 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Bristol City
Watford 0 - 2 Sheff Utd
Oxford Utd 2 - 0 Watford
Watford 1 - 1 Charlton
QPR 2 - 1 Watford
Watford 0 - 0 Leicester
Watford 3 - 1 Wrexham