Championship
Gameweek
40
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmidlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog.png)
-
Dael Fry
26'
-
Alex Bangura
78'
-
Jeremy Sarmiento
89'
-
Josh Coburn
58'
-
Barry Bannan
64'
-
Macaulay Langstaff
85'
-
Josh Coburn
86'
-
Danny McNamara
90'+5'
-
Luke Cundle
90'+5'
Middlesbrough vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F12%2Fkim-hellberg-6935ee7a9ed0b174451962.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result
Middlesbrough
47.68%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
25.01%
Millwall
27.32%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
53.6%
▲
(+0.14)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.41%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
24.59%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 2.5
51.51%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
48.49%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
29.09%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
70.91%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 4.5
16.36%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
83.64%
▼
(-0.11)
First Half Winner
Middlesbrough
36.5%
Draw
41.75%
Millwall
21.75%
Team To Score First
Middlesbrough
58.97%
▲
(+0.02)
No Goal
6.71%
▼
(-0.04)
Millwall
34.32%
▲
(+0.01)
Corners
Over 8
63.4%
▼
(-0.06)
Equal 8
10.71%
Under 8
25.88%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 9
51.99%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 9
11.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
36.6%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 10.5
40.84%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 10.5
59.16%
▲
(+0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 1.5
45.53%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
54.47%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 2.5
20.6%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
79.4%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
7.29%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
92.71%
▼
(-0.08)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5
63.26%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
36.74%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
29.54%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
70.46%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
10.29%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
89.71%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
3.06%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
96.94%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Middlesbrough
47.67%
Draw
25.02%
Millwall
27.33%
Middlesbrough
1-0
@
10.58%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 47.67%
2-1 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 47.67%
Draw
1-1
@
11.85%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.02%
0-0 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.02%
Millwall
0-1
@
7.32%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.33%
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.33%
Head to Head
Championship
Championship
Gameweek
42
-
Camiel Neghli
65'
-
Femi Azeez
88'
Championship
Gameweek
21
-
Emmanuel Latte Lath
10'
-
Emmanuel Latte Lath
37'
-
Anfernee Dijksteel
65'
-
Japhet Tanganga
54'
-
Billy Mitchell
90'
Championship
Gameweek
27
-
Joe Bryan
10'
-
George Honeyman
45'+4'
-
Ryan Longman
51'
-
Joe Bryan
80'
-
Lukas Engel
38'
-
Isaiah Jones
58'
-
Lukas Engel
66'
-
Marcus Forss
90'+5'
Championship
Gameweek
1
-
Jonny Howson
80'
-
Joe Bryan
25'
-
Kevin Nisbet
46'
-
Romain Esse
79'
-
Jake Cooper
80'
Championship
Gameweek
27
-
Marcus Forss
54'
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F08%2Falex-neil-1-68ab8e2665694155405398.jpg)