Championship Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
Apr 3, 2026 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Millwall
  • Riley McGree 13' yellowcard
  • Dael Fry 26' goal
  • Alex Bangura 78' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Sarmiento 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 13'
  • goal Josh Coburn 58'
  • yellowcard Barry Bannan 64'
  • yellowcard Macaulay Langstaff 85'
  • goal Josh Coburn 86'
  • yellowcard Danny McNamara  90'+5'
  • yellowcard Luke Cundle 90'+5'

Middlesbrough vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
Blackburn 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
Ipswich 1 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanović

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 47.68% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 25.01%
Millwall 27.32% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.6% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.41% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 24.59% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 51.51% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 48.49% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 29.09% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 70.91% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 16.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 83.64% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 36.5%
Draw 41.75%
Millwall 21.75%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 58.97% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Millwall 34.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.4% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 8 10.71%
Under 8 25.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 51.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 36.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 10.5 40.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 59.16% ▲ (+0.03)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 45.53% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 54.47% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 20.6% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 79.4% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 7.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 92.71% ▼ (-0.08)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 63.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.54% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 10.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 3.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.94% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 47.67%
Draw 25.02%
Millwall 27.33%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.58% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 47.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.02%
Millwall
0-1 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.33%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 2
Millwall
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Middlesbrough
  • Tristan Crama 27' yellowcard
  • Josh Coburn 31' yellowcard
  • Billy Mitchell 38' yellowcard
  • Zak Sturge 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tommy Conway 42'
  • goal Hayden Hackney 49'
  • yellowcard Morgan Whittaker 59'
  • yellowcard Sam Silvera 68'
  • goal Alfie Jones 87'
  • yellowcard George Edmundson 89'
  • yellowcard Delano Burgzorg 90'+5'
  • goal Delano Burgzorg 90'+7'
Championship Gameweek 42
Millwall
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Middlesbrough
  • Camiel Neghli 65' goal
  • Femi Azeez 88' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Millwall
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 10' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 37' yellowcard
  • Anfernee Dijksteel 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 54'
  • yellowcard Billy Mitchell 90'
Championship Gameweek 27
Millwall
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
Middlesbrough
  • Joe Bryan 10' goal
  • George Honeyman 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 51' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 80' yellowcard
  • goal Lukas Engel 38'
  • goal Isaiah Jones 58'
  • yellowcard Lukas Engel 66'
  • goal Marcus Forss 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Millwall
  • Jonny Howson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Bryan 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Nisbet 46'
  • goal Romain Esse 79'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 80'
Championship Gameweek 27
Middlesbrough
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Millwall
  • Marcus Forss 54' goal

Form Data

Blackburn 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Bristol City
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Charlton
QPR 0 - 4 Middlesbrough
Birmingham 1 - 3 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Leicester
Ipswich 1 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 1 - 2 Blackburn
Millwall 1 - 0 Derby
Hull City 1 - 3 Millwall
Preston 0 - 2 Millwall
Millwall 3 - 0 Birmingham

Build-up

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