Championship Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
Apr 3, 2026 12.30pm
Riverside Stadium
Millwall

Middlesbrough vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
Blackburn 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.30pm
Ipswich 1 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 27.38% and a draw has a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win is 0-1 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).

Result

Middlesbrough 47.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.01%
Millwall 27.38%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.47% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 24.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 51.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.97%
Under 3.5 71.03%
Over 4.5 16.25%
Under 4.5 83.75%

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 36.5%
Draw 41.75%
Millwall 21.75%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 58.95% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Millwall 34.31%

Corners

Over 8 63.45%
Equal 8 10.71%
Under 8 25.84%
Over 9 52.03%
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 36.55%
Over 10.5 40.87%
Under 10.5 59.13%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 45.36%
Under 1.5 54.64%
Over 2.5 20.48%
Under 2.5 79.52%
Over 3.5 7.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 63.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 29.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 47.58%
Draw 25%
Millwall 27.38%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.14%
Total : 47.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25%
Millwall
0-1 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 27.38%

Head to Head

Championship
Millwall
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Middlesbrough
Championship Gameweek 42
Millwall
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Middlesbrough
  • Camiel Neghli 65' goal
  • Femi Azeez 88' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Millwall
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 10' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 37' yellowcard
  • Anfernee Dijksteel 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 54'
  • yellowcard Billy Mitchell 90'
Championship Gameweek 27
Millwall
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
Middlesbrough
  • Joe Bryan 10' goal
  • George Honeyman 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 51' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 80' yellowcard
  • goal Lukas Engel 38'
  • goal Isaiah Jones 58'
  • yellowcard Lukas Engel 66'
  • goal Marcus Forss 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Millwall
  • Jonny Howson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Bryan 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Nisbet 46'
  • goal Romain Esse 79'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 80'
Championship Gameweek 27
Middlesbrough
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Millwall
  • Marcus Forss 54' goal

Form Data

Blackburn 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Bristol City
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Charlton
QPR 0 - 4 Middlesbrough
Birmingham 1 - 3 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Leicester
Ipswich 1 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 1 - 2 Blackburn
Millwall 1 - 0 Derby
Hull City 1 - 3 Millwall
Preston 0 - 2 Millwall
Millwall 3 - 0 Birmingham