Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Morgan Whittaker 11' goal
  • Jeremy Sarmiento 60' yellowcard
  • Sam Silvera 78' yellowcard
  • Kaly Sène 78' yellowcard
  • Alex Bangura 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Chalobah 62'
  • yellowcard Jamal Lowe 62'
  • yellowcard William Grainger 68'
  • yellowcard Olaf Kobacki 83'

Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 12.00pm
Ipswich 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Sheff Weds 1 - 1 Charlton
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Charlie McNeill

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 71.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.52% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 10.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 3-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%) , while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 71.89% (+0.02)
Draw 17.52% (-0.06)
Sheffield Wednesday 10.6% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.75% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.08% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.92% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 54.71% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 45.29% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 33.42% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 66.58% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 23.44% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.56% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 56.87% (+0.01)
Draw 33.39% (-0.15)
Sheffield Wednesday 9.73% (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 75.47% (+0.16)
No Goal 6.13% (-0.03)
Sheffield Wednesday 18.4% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 69.35% (+0.20)
Equal 8 9.97% (+0.03)
Under 8 20.68% (-0.22)
Over 9 58.17% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.18% (+0.05)
Under 9 30.65% (-0.21)
Over 10.5 46.72% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 53.28% (-0.08)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 63.54% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 36.46% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 37.85% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 62.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 19.35% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 80.65% (-0.02)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5 39.67%
Under 0.5 60.33%
Over 1.5 12.3% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 87.7% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 2.86%
Under 2.5 97.14%
Over 3.5 0.59% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.41% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 71.89%
Draw 17.51%
Sheffield Wednesday 10.61%
Middlesbrough
2-0 @ 13.06% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 12.64% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.26% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 19.25% (+0.04)
Total : 71.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.83% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 17.51%
Sheffield Wednesday
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.78% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.49% (-0.02)
Total : 10.61%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 22, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hillsborough Stadium
  • Michael Smith 13' yellowcard
  • Svante Ingelsson 21' yellowcard
  • Callum Paterson 51' yellowcard
  • Josh Windass 54' goal
  • Anthony Musaba 89' goal
  • goal Finn Azaz 11'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 36'
  • yellowcard Mark Travers 55'
  • yellowcard Rav van den Berg 69'
  • yellowcard Finn Azaz 84'
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Ben Doak 5' goal
  • Finn Azaz 15' goal
  • Finn Azaz 30' goal
  • Rav van den Berg 39' yellowcard
  • Rav van den Berg 55' redcard
  • goal Svante Ingelsson 47'
  • goal Josh Windass 54'
  • goal Yan Valery 61'
  • yellowcard Yan Valery 71'
  • yellowcard Djeidi Gassama 78'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Sam Greenwood 24' yellowcard
  • Michael Ihiekwe 41' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 73' goal
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 33'
  • yellowcard James Beadle 40'
  • yellowcard Akin Famewo 79'
  • yellowcard Dominic Iorfa 80'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
  • Josh Windass 31' yellowcard
  • Anthony Musaba 38' goal
  • George Byers 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 48'
  • goal Darragh Lenihan 53'
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Yannick Bolasie 20' goal
  • Paddy McNair 27' yellowcard
  • Josh Coburn 73' goal
  • Duncan Watmore 81' goal
  • goal Josh Windass 39'