Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.03% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.