Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 5.30pm
Swansea 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 12.30pm
Portsmouth 2 - 2 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Terry Devlin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw has a probability of 24.07% and a win for Portsmouth has a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Portsmouth win it is 0-1 (6.64%).

Result

Middlesbrough 56.1% (-0.11)
Draw 24.07%
Portsmouth 19.79% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.49%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.2% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 26.8% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 48.31% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 51.69% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 26.99% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 73.01% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 15.61% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.39% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 42.39%
Draw 39.28%
Portsmouth 18.33%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 65.04%
No Goal 7.49% (+0.01)
Portsmouth 27.47% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 72.47% (-0.91)
Equal 8 9.54% (+0.15)
Under 8 18% (+0.77)
Over 9 61.43% (-0.97)
Equal 9 11.04% (+0.06)
Under 9 27.53% (+0.92)
Over 10.5 49.82% (-0.93)
Under 10.5 50.18% (+0.93)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 50.09% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 49.91% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 23.91% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 76.09% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 9.27% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 90.73% (+0.08)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 54.6% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 45.4% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 21.06%
Under 1.5 78.94%
Over 2.5 5.92% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.08% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.43%
Under 3.5 98.57%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 56.11%
Draw 24.07%
Portsmouth 19.78%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 12.63% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.03% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.65% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.21% (-0.06)
Total : 56.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.49% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 24.07%
Portsmouth
0-1 @ 6.64% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.1% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Total : 19.78%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.35pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Fratton Park
  • Matt Ritchie 40' yellowcard
  • Matt Ritchie 54' goal
  • Matt Ritchie 82' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Doak 24'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 30'
  • yellowcard George Edmundson 55'
Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Matt Clarke 11' goal
  • Tommy Conway 90' goal
  • goal Christian Saydee 2'
  • goal Christian Saydee 25'
  • yellowcard Ryley Towler 42'
  • yellowcard Christian Saydee 43'
  • yellowcard Harvey Blair 54'
  • yellowcard Will Norris 57'
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 80'
Championship
Mar 3, 2012 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tal Ben Haim 45' yellowcard
  • Greg Halford 55' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Rocha 55' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 61' yellowcard
  • Greg Halford 66' goal
  • David Norris 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Bates 31'
  • yellowcard Rhys Williams 45'
  • goal Barry Robson 56'
  • goal Matthew Bates 63'
  • yellowcard Barry Robson 66'
  • redcard Rhys Williams 90'
Championship
Aug 6, 2011 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marvin Emnes 24' goal
  • Rhys Williams 54' goal
  • Scott McDonald 56' yellowcard
  • Rhys Williams 71' yellowcard
  • goal David Norris 47'
  • yellowcard Tal Ben Haim 56'
  • yellowcard Greg Halford 56'
  • yellowcard Joel Ward 74'
  • yellowcard Aaron Mokoena 76'
  • goal Luke Varney 90'
Championship
Mar 12, 2011 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonathan Hogg 51' yellowcard
  • Dave Kitson 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tony McMahon 78'