Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2026 5.30pm
Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Sheff Utd 3 - 3 Swansea
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 12.30pm
Middlesbrough 1 - 2 Millwall
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 33.3% and a draw has a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 2-1 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.69%).

Result

Swansea City 33.3% (+0.12)
Draw 25.47%
Middlesbrough 41.17% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.33% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 22.67% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 54.04% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 45.96% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 31.58% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 68.42% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.6% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.4% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Swansea City 25.89% (+0.02)
Draw 42.85% (+0.01)
Middlesbrough 31.26% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Swansea City 40.76%
No Goal 6.12% (+0.01)
Middlesbrough 53.12% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.28% (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.28% (+0.03)
Under 8 29.44% (-0.12)
Over 9 47.66% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.63% (+0.05)
Under 9 40.72% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 36.66% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 63.34% (-0.02)

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 36.16% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 63.84% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 14.1% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 85.9% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.48% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.52% (-0.03)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 74.5% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 25.5% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 42.66% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 57.34% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 18.33% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 81.67% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 6.47% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.53% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Swansea City 33.29%
Draw 25.47%
Middlesbrough 41.17%
Swansea City
2-1 @ 7.93% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.27% (+0.02)
Total : 33.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.12% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.47%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.26% (-0.05)
Total : 41.17%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Ji-Sung Eom 26' goal
  • Goncalo Franco 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 28'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 25' goal
  • Lukas Engel 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 14'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 43'
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 76'
  • yellowcard Josh Thomas 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Josh Thomas 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 45'+1' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 79' goal
  • Luke Ayling 81' yellowcard
  • Dan Barlaser 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Cooper 78'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 86'
Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Jamal Lowe 59' goal
  • Josh Tymon 62' yellowcard
  • Jamie Paterson 65' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Greenwood 43'
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 64'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 67'
  • goal Sam Silvera 78'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Joel Piroe 15' goal
  • goal Aaron Ramsey 54'
  • goal Cameron Archer 57'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 77'