Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.