Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 48.42%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%) , while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.