Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.