Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.