Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2026 12.00pm
Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 8.00pm
Portsmouth 2 - 0 Ipswich
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
George Hirst

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Middlesbrough has a probability of 30.59% and a draw has a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win is 1-2 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).

Result

Ipswich Town 44.01% (-0.65)
Draw 25.37%
Middlesbrough 30.59% (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.55% (+1.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.76% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 23.24% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 53.23% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 46.74% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 29.92% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 70.08% (+0.49)
Over 4.5 16.79% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 83.21% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Ipswich Town 34.82% (-0.22)
Draw 39.38% (-0.77)
Middlesbrough 25.8% (+1.00)

Team To Score First

Ipswich Town 53.18% (+0.18)
No Goal 6.3% (-0.03)
Middlesbrough 40.52% (-0.16)

Corners

Over 8 58.03% (+0.86)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.49)
Under 8 30.35% (-1.31)
Over 9 46.15% (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.87% (+0.56)
Under 9 41.97% (-0.86)
Over 10.5 35.05% (-0.27)
Under 10.5 64.95% (+0.27)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 1.5 43.93% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 56.07% (+0.55)
Over 2.5 19.33% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 80.67% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 6.74% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 93.26% (+0.18)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 66.39% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 33.61% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 33.29% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 66.71% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 12.67% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 87.33% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 3.83% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 96.17% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Ipswich Town 44.01%
Draw 25.36%
Middlesbrough 30.57%
Ipswich Town
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 3.99% (+0.24)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.19)
Other @ 6.5% (-0.25)
Total : 44.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.34% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.07)
Total : 25.36%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 7.67% (+0.33)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.05% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.14% (+0.26)
Other @ 3.59% (+0.07)
Total : 30.57%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 17, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Portman Road Stadium
  • Massimo Luongo 30' goal
  • Massimo Luongo 30' goal
  • Massimo Luongo 49' yellowcard
  • Massimo Luongo 49' yellowcard
  • Lewis Travis 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 20'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 20'
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 57'
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 57'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Matt Crooks 51' yellowcard
  • goal Conor Chaplin 36'
  • yellowcard Luke Woolfenden 63'
  • goal Omari Hutchinson 67'
  • yellowcard Dominic Ball 90'
  • yellowcard Sam Morsy 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)
  • Jordan Hugill 37' goal
  • Marcus Tavernier 65' yellowcard
  • Marcus Tavernier 72' goal
  • yellowcard Trevoh Chalobah 19'
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 40'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Portman Road Stadium (Ipswich, Suffolk)
  • goal Muhamed Besic 12'
  • goal Stewart Downing 16'
Championship
May 6, 2018 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Freddie Sears 8' goal
  • Cole Skuse 12' yellowcard
  • Tristan Nydam 45' yellowcard
  • Freddie Sears 45' yellowcard
  • Martyn Waghorn 83' goal
  • goal Stewart Downing 71'
  • goal Patrick Bamford 90'
  • yellowcard Ben Gibson 90'