Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
The Kassam Stadium

Oxford United vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 12.30pm
Portsmouth 2 - 2 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Watford 1 - 1 Charlton
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Oxford United has a probability of 33.5% and a draw has a probability of 29.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Oxford United win is 1-0 (11.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.24%).

Result

Oxford United 33.5% (-0.01)
Draw 29.29%
Watford 37.21% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.78% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 35.2% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 38.57% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 61.43% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 19.39% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 80.61% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 9.63% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 90.37% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Oxford United 26.3%
Draw 45.02%
Watford 28.68%

Team To Score First

Oxford United 39.69%
No Goal 11.23%
Watford 49.08%

Corners

Over 8 57.13% (+0.32)
Equal 8 11.76% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.12% (-0.31)
Over 9 45.2% (+0.28)
Equal 9 11.92% (+0.04)
Under 9 42.87% (-0.32)
Over 10.5 34.14% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 65.86% (-0.22)

Oxford United Goals

Over 1.5 28.13% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.87% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.05% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.34%
Under 3.5 97.66%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 66.22% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.78% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.51% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.49% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.46% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.54% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.45% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Oxford United 33.5%
Draw 29.29%
Watford 37.22%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 11.96%
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 29.29%
Watford
0-1 @ 12.02% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.74% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.41% (+0.02)
Total : 37.22%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Przemyslaw Placheta 67' yellowcard
  • Siriki Dembele 82' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 51'
  • yellowcard James Abankwah 67'
  • redcard James Abankwah 79'
Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ryan Porteous 34' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Baah 38' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 54' goal
  • Festy Ebosele 62' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 75' yellowcard
  • James Morris 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Tom Cleverley 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh McEachran 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Elliott Moore 75'
EFL Cup
Sep 15, 2020 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET The Kassam Stadium
  • Rob Hall 26' goal
  • yellowcard Marc Navarro 72'
  • goal Ken Sema 89'