Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.