Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
MATRADE Loftus Road

Queens Park Rangers vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
QPR 6 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Richard Kone

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Watford 0 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Watford has a probability of 33.68% and a draw has a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.77%).

Result

Queens Park Rangers 40.51%
Draw 25.81%
Watford 33.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.39% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.1% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 24.9% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 51.28% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 48.72% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 29.06% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.94% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.41% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.59% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Queens Park Rangers 29.95%
Draw 42.62%
Watford 27.43%

Team To Score First

Queens Park Rangers 47.09%
No Goal 7.07% (+0.02)
Watford 45.84% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.94%
Equal 8 11.4%
Under 8 27.67%
Over 9 49.01%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 39.06%
Over 10.5 37.61%
Under 10.5 62.39%

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 40.16% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.84% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.8% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 83.2% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.91% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.09% (+0.02)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 67.07% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 32.93% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 34.82% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.18% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.25% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.75% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.85%
Under 3.5 95.15%

Score analysis

Queens Park Rangers 40.52%
Draw 25.81%
Watford 33.68%
Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.72% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 5.67% (-0.01)
Total : 40.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 7.07% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.81%
Watford
0-1 @ 8.12% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39%
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 33.68%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Michael Frey 5' goal
  • Michael Frey 31' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Dunne 37' goal
  • Morgan Fox 47' yellowcard
  • Sam Field 56' goal
  • Sam Field 83' yellowcard
  • Paul Smyth 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Bachmann 38'
  • goal Kwadwo Baah 55'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 70'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 82'
  • yellowcard Festy Ebosele 89'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Francisco Sierralta 34' yellowcard
  • Matthew Pollock 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Madsen 2'
  • yellowcard Paul Smyth 57'
  • yellowcard Sam Field 88'
Championship Gameweek 1
Jan 14, 2024 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Sam Field 5' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Paal 23' yellowcard
  • Jack Colback 39' yellowcard
  • Lyndon Dykes 77' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Livermore 20'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 45'
  • yellowcard Tom Dele-Bashiru 49'
  • goal Jake Livermore 60'
  • goal Jake Livermore 65'
Championship Gameweek 27
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Tom Dele-Bashiru 1' goal
  • Imran Louza 20' goal
  • Matheus Martins 38' goal
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 43' goal
  • James Morris 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sinclair Armstrong 67'
  • yellowcard Sam Field 76'
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Tim Iroegbunam 15' goal