Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Vicarage Road

Watford vs Charlton Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
QPR 2 - 1 Watford
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Charlton 1 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Tyreece Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 49.73%. A draw has a probability of 25.74% and a win for Charlton Athletic has a probability of 24.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.05%) , while for a Charlton Athletic win it is 0-1 (7.16%).

Result

Watford 49.73% (-0.04)
Draw 25.74% (-0.04)
Charlton Athletic 24.53% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.53% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.5% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 26.5% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 48.79% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 51.17% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 27.17% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 72.77% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 15.24% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 84.76% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Watford 36.74%
Draw 44.21%
Charlton Athletic 19.05%

Team To Score First

Watford 59.19% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.51% (-0.04)
Charlton Athletic 33.3% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.53% (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 26.86% (+0.08)
Over 9 49.32% (-0.08)
Equal 9 12.22% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.47% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 37.62% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 62.38% (+0.07)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 45.81% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 54.19% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 20.47% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 79.53% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.41% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.59% (-0.04)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 59.82% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 40.18% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 26.2% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 73.8% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 8.78% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 91.22% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.56% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.44% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Watford 49.74%
Draw 25.73%
Charlton Athletic 24.54%
Watford
1-0 @ 11.84% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 9% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.8%
3-0 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.26% (+0.03)
Total : 49.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.73%
Charlton Athletic
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.13% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.41% (+0.05)
Total : 24.54%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 9, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship
Jan 17, 2015 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Craig Cathcart 15' goal
  • Troy Deeney 25' goal
  • Odion Ighalo 44' goal
  • Odion Ighalo 58' goal
  • Daniel Tozser 93' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Solly 5'
  • yellowcard Andre Bikey 92'
Championship
Sep 13, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yoni Buyens 3' goal
  • Johann Berg Gudmundsson 24' yellowcard
  • Rhoy Wiggins 48' yellowcard
  • Yoni Buyens 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Heurelho Gomes 2'
  • yellowcard Almen Abdi 41'
  • yellowcard Tom Hoban 43'
  • yellowcard Joel Ekstrand 45'
Championship
Apr 29, 2014 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum Harriott 22' goal
  • Johnnie Jackson 70' goal
  • Callum Harriott 77' goal
  • Andy Hughes 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Essaid Belkalem 45'
  • goal Troy Deeney 60'
  • yellowcard Albert Riera 65'
  • redcard Albert Riera 79'
  • yellowcard Math Ranegie 84'
Championship
Sep 14, 2013 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Essaid Belkalem 31' yellowcard
  • Davide Faraoni 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pudil 71' goal
  • Santos Iriney 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dale Stephens 4'
  • yellowcard Simon Church 33'
  • goal Yann Kermorgant 47'
  • yellowcard Lawrie Wilson 94'
Championship
Jan 1, 2013 1.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Daniel Pudil 11' goal
  • Fernando Martin Forestieri 22' yellowcard
  • Almen Abdi 53' goal
  • Neuton 60' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Geijo 68' goal
  • Joel Ekstrand 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Johnnie Jackson 31'
  • goal Tommy Hoban 34' (OG)
  • goal Yann Kermorgant 37'
  • yellowcard Lawrie Wilson 56'
  • goal Yann Kermorgant 70'
  • goal Johnnie Jackson 78'
  • yellowcard Jordan Cook 90'