Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
The Hawthorns

West Bromwich Albion vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 8.00pm
West Brom 0 - 0 Millwall
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Aune Heggebo

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 2 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw has a probability of 27.67% and a win for Watford has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.57%) , while for a Watford win it is 0-1 (7.76%).

Result

West Bromwich Albion 49.4% (-0.32)
Draw 27.67% (-0.36)
Watford 22.9% (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.3% (+0.92)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.13% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 33.87% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 41.33% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 58.67% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 21.45% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 78.54% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 11.56% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 88.44% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

West Bromwich Albion 36.23% (+1.41)
Draw 43.4% (-0.21)
Watford 20.37% (-1.21)

Team To Score First

West Bromwich Albion 52.61% (-0.15)
No Goal 11.17% (-0.24)
Watford 36.22% (+0.38)

Corners

Over 8 60.59% (+2.06)
Equal 8 11.87% (+0.49)
Under 8 27.54% (-2.54)
Over 9 48.16% (+1.29)
Equal 9 12.43% (+0.76)
Under 9 39.41% (-2.06)
Over 10.5 36.35% (+0.47)
Under 10.5 63.65% (-0.47)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 1.5 40.79% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.21% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.9% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 83.1% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 5.61% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.39% (-0.04)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 53.94% (+0.52)
Under 0.5 46.06% (-0.52)
Over 1.5 22.09% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 77.91% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 7.06% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 92.94% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 1.84% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.16% (-0.03)

Score analysis

West Bromwich Albion 49.4%
Draw 27.67%
Watford 22.9%
West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 14.91% (-0.38)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.61% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.55% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.02% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.52% (+0.09)
Total : 49.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.17% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.06)
Total : 27.67%
Watford
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 5.62% (+0.28)
0-2 @ 3.36% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.94% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 1.37% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.75% (+0.09)
Total : 22.9%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 22, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Karlan Grant 11' goal
  • Karlan Grant 11' goal
  • Karlan Grant 11' goal
  • Will Lankshear 41' yellowcard
  • Will Lankshear 41' yellowcard
  • Darnell Furlong 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Darnell Furlong 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mikey Johnston 60' goal
  • Mikey Johnston 60' goal
  • Isaac Price 65' yellowcard
  • Isaac Price 65' yellowcard
  • Kyle Bartley 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Pollock 41'
  • yellowcard Matthew Pollock 41'
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 59'
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 59'
  • goal Moussa Sissoko 76'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Moussa Sissoko 21' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 35' goal
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 50' goal
  • Imran Louza 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jayson Molumby 53'
  • goal Jayson Molumby 68'
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 81'
  • yellowcard John Swift 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Brandon Thomas-Asante 70' goal
  • Darnell Furlong 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Dennis 30'
  • goal Edo Kayembe 51'
  • goal Mileta Rajovic 66'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Vicarage Road
  • Tom Ince 3' goal
  • Matheus Martins 23' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 53' yellowcard
  • Imran Louza 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal John Swift 14'
  • goal Jed Wallace 17'
  • yellowcard Jayson Molumby 26'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 20, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ken Sema 23' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 66' goal
  • Ken Sema 78' goal
  • goal Conor Townsend 56'
  • goal Jed Wallace 71'