Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.76% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%) , while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.