Championship Gameweek 46
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Vicarage Road

Watford vs Coventry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
Middlesbrough 5 - 1 Watford
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Coventry City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 12.00pm
Coventry 3 - 1 Wrexham
Goals scored
93
Top scorer
Haji Wright

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Watford has a probability of 32.18% and a draw has a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Watford win is 1-0 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.96%).

Result

Watford 32.18% (-0.08)
Draw 25.66% (-0.02)
Coventry City 42.12% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.95% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.22% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.78% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 49.79% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.17%
Over 3.5 27.5%
Under 3.5 72.5%
Over 4.5 14.69% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.31% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Watford 24.41% (+0.02)
Draw 41.27% (-0.04)
Coventry City 34.32% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Watford 39.03% (+0.13)
No Goal 7.4% (-0.02)
Coventry City 53.57% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 65.23% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.22%
Under 8 23.55% (+0.04)
Over 9 52.99% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.24%
Under 9 34.77% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 40.91% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 59.09% (+0.03)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 32.61% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 67.39% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 11.93% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.07% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.46% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.54% (+0.02)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5 73.08%
Under 0.5 26.92%
Over 1.5 40.73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.27% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.84% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.16% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.51% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.49% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Watford 32.18%
Draw 25.67%
Coventry City 42.13%
Watford
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.43% (-0.01)
Total : 32.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 25.67%
Coventry City
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 9.31% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.15%
1-3 @ 4.4% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.64%
Other @ 5.48% (+0.02)
Total : 42.13%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 25, 2025 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • Victor Torp 32' goal
  • Victor Torp 32' goal
  • Victor Torp 51' yellowcard
  • Victor Torp 75' goal
  • Jack Rudoni 87' yellowcard
  • Liam Kitching 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 21'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 21'
  • yellowcard James Morris 52'
  • yellowcard Yasser Larouci 65'
  • goal Liam Kitching 82' (OG)
  • yellowcard Moussa Sissoko 90'+7'
Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Matthew Pollock 38' yellowcard
  • Tom Dele-Bashiru 67' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Ellis Simms 4'
  • yellowcard Victor Torp 44'
  • yellowcard Joel Latibeaudiere 45'
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ryan Porteous 20' goal
  • Wesley Hoedt 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Kelly 19'
  • yellowcard Kasey Palmer 23'
  • goal Haji Wright 40'
  • yellowcard Jake Bidwell 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Bobby Thomas 66'
  • goal Haji Wright 72'
  • yellowcard Haji Wright 88'
Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • Josh Eccles 24' yellowcard
  • Milan van Ewijk 41' goal
  • Kyle McFadzean 60' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 64' goal
  • Ben Sheaf 76' yellowcard
  • Matt Godden 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 30'
  • goal Mileta Rajovic 35'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 40'
  • goal Matheus Martins 52'
  • goal Mileta Rajovic 79'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Matt Godden 58' goal
  • Ben Sheaf 72' goal
  • goal Joao Pedro 6'
  • goal Imran Louza 45'+1'