Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%).