Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.83% and a win for Wrexham had a probability of 18.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%) , while for a Wrexham win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.