Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Will Vaulks 56' yellowcard
  • Aidomo Emakhu 56' yellowcard
  • Hidde ter Avest 67' yellowcard
  • Mark Harris 67' yellowcard
  • Jamie Paul Donley 88' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Windass 40'
  • yellowcard Issa Kaboré 56'
  • yellowcard Lewis O'Brien 70'
  • yellowcard Kieffer Moore 71'
  • yellowcard Max Cleworth 90'+3'

Oxford United vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 12.30pm
Derby 1 - 0 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Wrexham 2 - 0 Stoke
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Josh Windass

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Oxford United 32.88% (+0.03)
Draw 27.73%
Wrexham 39.39% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.8% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.22% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 31.78% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.34% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 57.66% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.61% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 78.39% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 11.04% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.96% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Oxford United 28.96% (+0.04)
Draw 45.6% (-0.01)
Wrexham 25.43% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Oxford United 45.39% (+0.08)
No Goal 9.64% (+0.01)
Wrexham 44.97% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 56.01% (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.9% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.09% (+0.13)
Over 9 44.04% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.97% (-0.01)
Under 9 43.99% (+0.13)
Over 10.5 33.02% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 66.98% (+0.10)

Oxford United Goals

Over 1.5 29.49% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.51% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.33% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.67% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.92%
Under 3.5 97.08%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 69.1% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 30.9% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.88% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.12% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.94%
Under 2.5 87.06%
Over 3.5 4.01% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.99% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Oxford United 32.88%
Draw 27.72%
Wrexham 39.4%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 10.51% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.19% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.75%
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.22% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 9.64% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 27.72%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 11.63%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 3.87% (-0.01)
Total : 39.4%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 22, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
FA Cup
Dec 9, 2013 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Clarke 29' goal
  • goal James Constable 54'
  • goal Ryan Williams 56'
  • yellowcard Dave Kitson 90'
League Two
Apr 29, 2006 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matt Crowell 28' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Willmott 9'
  • goal Tcham N'Toya-Zoa 64'
League Two
Nov 12, 2005 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Griffin 48' yellowcard
  • Craig Davies 50' yellowcard
  • Chris Hargreaves 60' yellowcard
  • Leo Roget 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Crowell 10'
  • yellowcard Dave Bayliss 21'
  • goal Lee McEvilly 39'
  • yellowcard Lee Roche 55'
  • goal Lee McEvilly 58'
  • goal Mark Jones 75'