Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
The Kassam Stadium

Oxford United vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 2 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.00pm
Birmingham 2 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Josh Windass

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Oxford United has a probability of 33.28% and a draw has a probability of 27.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Oxford United win is 1-0 (10.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.74%).

Result

Oxford United 33.28% (+1.54)
Draw 27.88% (-0.22)
Wrexham 38.84% (-1.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.4% (-0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.79% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 32.21% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 41.85% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 58.15% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 21.32% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 78.68% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 10.86% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 89.14% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Oxford United 28.99% (+0.99)
Draw 45.57% (+0.14)
Wrexham 25.44% (-1.12)

Team To Score First

Oxford United 45.32% (+1.61)
No Goal 9.81% (+0.14)
Wrexham 44.87% (-1.75)

Corners

Over 8 55.77% (-1.63)
Equal 8 11.97% (+0.22)
Under 8 32.26% (+1.42)
Over 9 43.75% (-1.69)
Equal 9 12.02% (+0.06)
Under 9 44.23% (+1.63)
Over 10.5 32.71% (-1.61)
Under 10.5 67.29% (+1.61)

Oxford United Goals

Over 1.5 29.67% (+0.91)
Under 1.5 70.33% (-0.91)
Over 2.5 10.51% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 89.49% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 2.98% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 97.02% (-0.24)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 68.61% (-1.32)
Under 0.5 31.39% (+1.32)
Over 1.5 34.16% (-1.06)
Under 1.5 65.84% (+1.05)
Over 2.5 12.46% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 87.54% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 3.81% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 96.19% (+0.26)

Score analysis

Oxford United 33.3%
Draw 27.88%
Wrexham 38.83%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 10.65% (+0.39)
2-1 @ 7.21% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 5.83% (+0.34)
3-1 @ 2.74% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 2.27% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 1.76% (+0.12)
Other @ 2.84% (+0.22)
Total : 33.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 9.81% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 27.88%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 11.76% (-0.32)
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 7.36% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.15)
Other @ 3.67% (-0.27)
Total : 38.83%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 22, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
FA Cup
Dec 9, 2013 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Clarke 29' goal
  • goal James Constable 54'
  • goal Ryan Williams 56'
  • yellowcard Dave Kitson 90'
League Two
Apr 29, 2006 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matt Crowell 28' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Willmott 9'
  • goal Tcham N'Toya-Zoa 64'
League Two
Nov 12, 2005 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Griffin 48' yellowcard
  • Craig Davies 50' yellowcard
  • Chris Hargreaves 60' yellowcard
  • Leo Roget 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Crowell 10'
  • yellowcard Dave Bayliss 21'
  • goal Lee McEvilly 39'
  • yellowcard Lee Roche 55'
  • goal Lee McEvilly 58'
  • goal Mark Jones 75'