Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.