Championship
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Racecourse Ground
  • George Thomason 31' goal
  • Josh Windass 33' goal
  • Lewis O'Brien 73' yellowcard
  • Nathan Broadhead 78' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 46'
  • yellowcard Róbert Boženík 52'
  • yellowcard Tatsuki Seko 68'
  • yellowcard Raphael Otegbayo 86'

Wrexham vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.00pm
Birmingham 2 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Josh Windass

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Stoke 1 - 1 Blackburn
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Sorba Thomas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Wrexham 49.27%
Draw 24.76%
Stoke City 25.94% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.1% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.45% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.55% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 50.87% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.13% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.44% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.56% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.92% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.08% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Wrexham 32.73%
Draw 44.58%
Stoke City 22.7%

Team To Score First

Wrexham 51.15% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.12% (+0.03)
Stoke City 41.73% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.8%
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 24.23%
Over 9 52.94%
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 35.2%
Over 10.5 41.24%
Under 10.5 58.76%

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 46.51%
Under 1.5 53.49%
Over 2.5 21.01%
Under 2.5 78.99%
Over 3.5 7.56%
Under 3.5 92.44%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 60.82% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 39.18% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 28.01% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 71.99% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.61%
Under 2.5 90.39%
Over 3.5 2.88%
Under 3.5 97.12%

Score analysis

Wrexham 49.27%
Draw 24.76%
Stoke City 25.94%
Wrexham
1-0 @ 11.19% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.43% (-0.02)
Total : 49.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.12% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 24.76%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.75% (-0.01)
Total : 25.94%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 17, 2019 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Bobby Grant 26' goal
  • goal Tyrese Campbell 5'
  • goal Sam Vokes 68'
  • goal Sam Vokes 78'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 22, 2015 7.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT
  • goal Mame Biram Diouf 22'
  • goal Jonathan Walters 29'
  • goal Marco van Ginkel 41'
  • goal Jonathan Walters 66'
  • goal Joselu 67'
  • goal Dom Telford 87'
FA Cup
Jan 4, 2015 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marko Arnautovic 80' goal
  • Stephen Ireland 88' goal
  • Stephen Ireland 90' goal
  • goal Mark Carrington 73'
  • yellowcard Rob Evans 75'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Flatt 86'