Serie A Gameweek 38
May 22, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 11.00am
Juventus 0 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 5.00pm
Atalanta 0 - 1 Bologna
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 35.73% and a draw has a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-0 (9.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.67%).

Result

Fiorentina 35.73%
Draw 27.9%
Atalanta BC 36.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.57%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.27% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.73% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.5%
Under 2.5 54.5%
Over 3.5 24.7%
Under 3.5 75.3%
Over 4.5 13.1%
Under 4.5 86.9%

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 27.69%
Draw 44.32%
Atalanta BC 27.99%

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 44.14%
No Goal 9.15%
Atalanta BC 46.71%

Corners

Over 8 53.9%
Equal 8 11.93%
Under 8 34.17%
Over 9 42.11%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 46.1%
Over 10.5 31.41%
Under 10.5 68.59%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 34.1% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.9% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.31%
Under 2.5 86.69%
Over 3.5 4.16%
Under 3.5 95.84%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 68.61%
Under 0.5 31.39%
Over 1.5 33.95%
Under 1.5 66.05%
Over 2.5 12.59%
Under 2.5 87.41%
Over 3.5 3.68%
Under 3.5 96.32%

Score analysis

Fiorentina 35.73%
Draw 27.9%
Atalanta BC 36.36%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 35.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 27.9%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 36.36%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Nov 30, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kossonou Odilon 41' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 51' goal
  • Isak Hien 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 59'
  • yellowcard Pablo Mari 69'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 71'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Moise Kean 45' goal
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 77'
  • yellowcard Lazar Samardzic 86'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 2
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Mateo Retegui 21' goal
  • Isak Hien 27' yellowcard
  • Charles De Ketelaere 45' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 45'+1' goal
  • Davide Zappacosta 82' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Martinez 15'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Bove 17'
  • goal Moise Kean 32'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 44'
  • yellowcard Amir Richardson 68'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Jun 2, 2024 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Ademola Lookman 12' goal
  • Giorgio Scalvini 32' goal
  • goal Andrea Belotti 6'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 19'
  • goal Andrea Belotti 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 75'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 85'
Coppa Italia
Apr 24, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Teun Koopmeiners 8' goal
  • Sead Kolasinac 56' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Scamacca 75' goal
  • Gianluca Scamacca 80' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 90'+4' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 43'
  • redcard Nikola Milenkovic 53'
  • goal Lucas Martinez 68'
  • yellowcard Dodo 69'
Coppa Italia
Apr 3, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Rolando Mandragora 31' goal
  • Rolando Mandragora 55' yellowcard
  • Christian Kouame 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aleksei Miranchuk 29'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 78'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Scamacca 89'