Club Friendlies 1
Aug 15, 2026 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Signal Iduna Park
  • Julian Ryerson 12' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 28' goal
  • goal Paulo Dybala 4'
  • goal Bryan Cristante  9'
  • yellowcard Devyne Rensch 13'
  • yellowcard Paulo Dybala 65'

Borussia Dortmund vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 11.00am
FC Tokyo 0 - 1 Dortmund

Roma

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Brighton 3 - 0 Roma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for Roma had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 52.13% ▼ (-1.22)
Draw 23.87% ▲ (+0.47)
Roma 24% ▲ (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.79% ▲ (+1.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.11% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 1.5 18.89% ▼ (-1.08)
Over 2.5 60.03% ▲ (+1.74)
Under 2.5 39.97% ▼ (-1.74)
Over 3.5 37.8% ▲ (+1.90)
Under 3.5 62.2% ▼ (-1.90)
Over 4.5 22.85% ▲ (+1.41)
Under 4.5 77.15% ▼ (-1.40)

First Half Winner

Borussia Dortmund 38.56% ▲ (+0.41)
Draw 39.79% ▼ (-0.82)
Roma 21.65% ▲ (+0.42)

Team To Score First

Borussia Dortmund 58.13% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 4.97% ▼ (-0.29)
Roma 36.9% ▲ (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 55% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 33.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 43.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.34%
Under 9 45% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 33.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 66.76% ▲ (+0.03)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 1.5 54.08% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 45.92% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 28.03% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 71.97% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 3.5 11.55% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 3.5 88.45% ▼ (-0.49)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 63.29% ▲ (+1.34)
Under 0.5 36.71% ▼ (-1.34)
Over 1.5 31.12% ▲ (+1.89)
Under 1.5 68.88% ▼ (-1.89)
Over 2.5 11.28% ▲ (+1.30)
Under 2.5 88.72% ▼ (-1.30)
Over 3.5 3.82% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 3.5 96.18% ▼ (-0.61)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 52.12%
Draw 23.87%
Roma 24%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 10.18% ▼ (-0.13)
1-0 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.65)
2-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.51)
3-1 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.28)
Total : 52.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.38)
0-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.29)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 0.38% ▲ (+0.21)
Total : 23.87%
Roma
1-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.13)
0-1 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.40)
Total : 24%