Serie A
Roma
May 17, 2026 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Lazio
  • Devyne Rensch 37' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 40' goal
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 46' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 66' goal
  • Matías Soulé 83' yellowcard
  • Jan Ziolkowski 83' yellowcard
  • Matías Soulé 84' yellowcard
  • Artem Dovbyk 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 62'
  • yellowcard Daniel Maldini 62'
  • yellowcard Gustav Isaksen 71'
  • yellowcard Gustav Isaksen 72'
  • yellowcard Pedro 79'
  • yellowcard Manuel Lazzari 79'
  • yellowcard Manuel Lazzari 80'

Roma vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 5.00pm
Parma 2 - 3 Roma
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 5.00pm
Lazio 0 - 3 Inter Milan
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Gustav Isaksen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.01% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%) , while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Roma 54.44% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 26.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Lazio 19.52% ▼ (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.89% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.99% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 27.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.05% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 51.95% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 3.5 26.08% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 3.5 73.92% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 4.5 14.9% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 4.5 85.1% ▼ (-0.42)

First Half Winner

Roma 42.38% ▲ (+1.13)
Draw 42.92% ▼ (-0.83)
Lazio 14.7% ▼ (-0.30)

Team To Score First

Roma 65.46% ▲ (+1.04)
No Goal 7.85% ▼ (-0.14)
Lazio 26.69% ▼ (-0.92)

Corners

Over 8 56.14% ▲ (+2.15)
Equal 8 12.56% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 8 31.29% ▼ (-1.53)
Over 9 43.46% ▲ (+2.60)
Equal 9 12.68% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 9 43.86% ▼ (-2.15)
Over 10.5 31.86% ▲ (+2.77)
Under 10.5 68.14% ▼ (-2.77)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 48.86% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 1.5 51.14% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 2.5 22.75% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 2.5 77.25% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 3.5 8.83% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 3.5 91.17% ▼ (-0.43)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 55.14% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 44.86% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 21.65% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 78.35% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 6.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 93.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.59% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 98.41% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Roma 54.44%
Draw 26%
Lazio 19.53%
Roma
1-0 @ 12.81% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 10.08% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 54.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 26%
Lazio
0-1 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 19.53%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 4
Lazio
Sep 21, 2025 11.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
Roma
  • Reda Belahyane 86' redcard
  • Mario Gila 88' yellowcard
  • Mattéo Guendouzi 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 38'
  • yellowcard Evan Ndicka 83'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Lazio
Apr 13, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Roma
  • Mattia Zaccagni 30' yellowcard
  • Gustav Isaksen 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alessio Romagnoli 47' goal
  • Luca Pellegrini 63' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Rovella 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 5'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 55'
  • goal Matias Soule 69'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Roma
Jan 5, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Lazio
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 10' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 18' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 37' yellowcard
  • Paulo Dybala 71' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 78' yellowcard
  • Evan N'Dicka 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Gila 32'
  • yellowcard Mattia Zaccagni 34'
  • yellowcard Valentin Castellanos 41'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Rovella 54'
  • yellowcard Boulaye Dia 72'
  • redcard Valentin Castellanos 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Roma
Apr 6, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Lazio
  • Daniele De Rossi 22' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 42' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 55' yellowcard
  • Zeki Celik 68' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 80' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 81' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 21'
  • yellowcard Pedro 73'
  • yellowcard Valentin Castellanos 75'
Coppa Italia
Lazio
Jan 10, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Roma
  • Mattia Zaccagni 51' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 60' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 65' yellowcard
  • Luca Pellegrini 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Pedro 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Pedro 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 57'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 65'
  • redcard Sardar Azmoun 90'+10'
  • redcard Gianluca Mancini 90'+11'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Lazio
Nov 12, 2023 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Roma
  • Maurizio Sarri 33' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 38' yellowcard
  • Luis Alberto 67' yellowcard
  • Patric 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 18'
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 31'
  • yellowcard Romelu Lukaku 37'
  • yellowcard Sardar Azmoun 87'

Form Data

Parma 2 - 3 Roma
Roma 4 - 0 Fiorentina
Bologna 0 - 2 Roma
Roma 1 - 1 Atalanta
Roma 3 - 0 Pisa
Inter Milan 5 - 2 Roma
Lazio 0 - 2 Inter Milan
Lazio 0 - 3 Inter Milan
Cremonese 1 - 2 Lazio
Lazio 3 - 3 Udinese
Atalanta 1 - 1 Lazio
Napoli 0 - 2 Lazio