Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.01% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%) , while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.