Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.95%. A draw had a probability of 28.52% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.