Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.