Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56.8%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.