Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.